预计LQ45指数公司在印尼证券交易所的破产

A. Anwar, N. Nurman, Zainal Ruma, S. Hasbiah
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摘要

本研究旨在用Altman Z-score、Zmijewski和Grover模型来预测印尼证券交易所LQ45指数公司的破产,以确定财务困境。本研究的对象是所有发行人或公开上市公司,其股票在2017-2020年期间一直被纳入印度尼西亚证券交易所的LQ45指数。抽样采用目的抽样法。数据收集是通过使用文档技术完成的。根据Altman Z-Score模型对2017-2021年LQ45指数公司的计算结果,灰色区域有8家公司,困境区域有2家公司,分别是PT. XL Axiata Tbk和PT. Jasa Marga (Persero)。同时,使用Zmijewski模型,四家公司被归类为在2017-2020年期间经历财务困境,即PT. Bank Central Asia Tbk, PT. Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, PT. State Savings Bank (Persero) Tbk, PT. Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk。根据Grover模型对财务困境的计算结果,将PT. XL Axiata Tbk和PT. Jasa Marga (Persero)两家公司划分为财务困境公司。
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PROYEKSI KEBANGKRUTAN PADA PERUSAHAAN INDEKS LQ45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA
This study aims to determine financial distress with the Altman Z-score, Zmijewski, and Grover models to predict bankruptcy in LQ45 Index Companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population of this research is all issuers or publicly listed companies whose shares are consistently included in the LQ45 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2020 period. Sampling using the purposive sampling method. Data collection is done by using documentation techniques. The results of calculations based on the Altman Z-Score model on LQ45 Index companies during the 2017-2021 period obtained eight companies in the gray area and two companies in the distress area, namely PT. XL Axiata Tbk and PT. Jasa Marga (Persero). Meanwhile, using the Zmijewski model, four companies were categorized as experiencing financial distress during the 2017-2020 period, namely PT. Bank Central Asia Tbk, PT. Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, PT. State Savings Bank (Persero) Tbk, PT. Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk. Based on the results of the calculation of financial distress with the Grover model, two companies are categorized as experiencing financial distress, namely PT. XL Axiata Tbk and PT. Jasa Marga (Persero).
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