生产结构、收入分配与宏观经济效率:马克思主义政治经济学的分析框架与实证研究

Bangxi Li, Chong Liu, Feng Zhao, Yanghua Huang
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摘要

目的在现有文献中,对收入分配调整、经济结构变化与宏观经济效率提高之间关系的系统研究较少。本文将马克思的再生产图式扩展为固定资本、一般生产资料和消费资料组成的“马克思-斯拉法”三部门结构表,并采用中国1987 - 2015年的投入产出表来描绘投资驱动增长下的收入分配与宏观经济效率的关系。研究结果计算了中国经济的工资-利润曲线,并基于实际收入分配结构与潜在收入分配结构的偏差评估了中国宏观经济效率提升的空间。结果表明,利润率呈下降趋势,符合马克思的理论预测,利润率下降的主要原因是在延伸性增长下,固定资本投资的快速增长导致资本有机构成的增加。对宏观经济效率的分析表明,在传统增长方式下,提高宏观经济效率的空间极其有限,中国必须转变经济发展方式,培育新的经济增长动力。
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Production structure, income distribution and macroeconomic efficiency: an analysis framework and empirical study of the Marxist political economy
PurposeIn the current literature, there is little systematic research on the relationship among adjustment of the income distribution, change in economic structure and improvement of macroeconomic efficiency.Design/methodology/approachThis paper expands Marx's reproduction schema into the “Marx–Sraffa” three-department structure table comprising fixed capital, general means of production and means of consumption and employs China's input–output table from 1987 to 2015 to portray the relationship between income distribution and macroeconomic efficiency under investment-driven growth.FindingsThis paper calculates the wage–profit curve of China's economy and evaluates the space of macroeconomic efficiency improvement in China based on the deviation between actual and potential income distribution structure.Originality/valueThe results show that there is a downward trend of the profit rate, which meets Marx's theoretical prediction, and the decline in the profit rate is mainly attributed to an increase in the organic composition of capital arising from the rapid growth of fixed capital investment under extended growth. The analysis of macroeconomic efficiency shows that the space for improving macroeconomic efficiency is extremely limited under traditional growth pattern and that China must transform its economic development pattern and foster new economic growth drivers.
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