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引用次数: 4

摘要

假设支持软件开发的整个社会和商业结构正在发生变化——通过完全成为公共资源而发生变化,从而大幅降低成本。世界将如何变化,我们将如何认识这些变化?软件不会被不同的组织不断地重新创造,因此软件生产的全球“效率”将显著提高;因此,在不浪费的情况下创造价值是可能的,实验和冒险将变得负担得起——而且可能是必要的,因为公司不能对重复的基础设施收费——建成系统的规模和复杂性将急剧增加,也许超出人类的理解。同样重要或更重要的是,创建软件的活动将成为今天被认为是软件消费者的人们、组织和学科的来源——在非常真实的意义上,将只有一个存在的、不断增长的软件系统;这将是一个由经济学家、社会学家、政府、俱乐部、社区和众多学科共同管理的生态系统。新的商业模式将被开发出来,也许以惊人的速度。我们应该如何设计我们的研究来观察和理解这种变化?有一些证据表明,这种变化正在发生,这是一些公司采用开源的结果,这些公司不仅是开源传播者的礼物的接受者,而且是聪明的小偷,重新利用了开源的想法,并创造了自己的新想法。
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The Commons as New Economy & What This Means for Research
Suppose the entire social and commercial fabric supporting the creation of software is changing-changing by becoming completely a commons and thereby dropping dramatically in cost. How would the world change and how would we recognize the changes? Software would not be continually recreated by different organizations, so the global "efficiency" of software production would increase dramatically; therefore it would be possible to create value without waste, experimentation and risk-taking would become affordable-and probably necessary because firms could not charge for their duplication of infrastructure-, and the size and complexity of built systems would increase dramatically, perhaps beyond human comprehension. As important or more so, the activities of creating software would become the provenance of people, organizations, and disciplines who today are mostly considered consumers of software-there would, in a very real sense, be only a single software system in existence, continually growing; it would be an ecology husbanded along by economists, sociologists, governments, clubs, communities, and herds of disciplines. New business models would be developed, perhaps at an alarming rate. How should we design our research to observe and understand this change? There is some evidence the change is underway, as the result of the adoption of open source by companies who are not merely appreciative receivers of gifts from the evangelizers of open source, but who are clever thieves re-purposing the ideas and making up new ones of their own.
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