越南孝河流域近60年水量变化及趋势检测

IF 1.6 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Water Practice and Technology Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI:10.2166/wpt.2023.179
Tran Tuan Thach
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文对1961年1月1日至2020年12月31日孝河流域水量变化特征进行了深入分析和趋势检测。首先,利用小波分析研究了不同时间尺度下的流量变化。利用桂洲和义庆的日流量时间序列,分析了流量的周期性,发现流量的周期振荡主要发生在1年、2 ~ 4年和4 ~ 8年。其次,对流量变异性进行了调查,发现1 - 9月(不包括6月)流量增加,10 - 12月流量减少。在桂洲,季节和年流量分别增加了0.19和0.06 m3/s,而在庆庆,流量减少了- 0.50 m3/s。第三,利用Mann-Kendall和Sen's斜率估计和序贯Mann-Kendall检验评估了流量的时间趋势。结果表明:1961 ~ 1969年、1973 ~ 1976年和1996 ~ 2020年3个季节流量呈下降趋势,1969 ~ 1973年和1976 ~ 1996年3个季节流量呈上升趋势。鸡洲和清庆的水流时间格局在不同的时间尺度上表现出同步。讨论了流量与降雨之间的关系,探讨了它们之间的关系。
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Variability and trend detection of water discharge over the past 60 years in the Vietnamese Hieu River Basin
Abstract This paper presents an in-depth analysis of the variability and trend detection of water discharge in the Hieu River Basin over the period from 1/1/1961 to 31/12/2020. Firstly, the wavelet analysis is implemented to investigate the flow variability at different time scales. Using time series of daily flow at Quy Chau and Nghia Khanh, the periodicities of flow are examined, showing that periodic oscillations in flow mainly occurred at 1 year, from 2 to 4 years, and from 4 to 8 years. Secondly, discharge variability is investigated, revealing an increase from January to September (excluding June) and a decrease from October to December. At Quy Chau, flow increased seasonally and annually by 0.19 and 0.06 m3/s, respectively, while its values at Nghia Khanh decreased of up to −0.50 m3/s. Thirdly, temporal trends of flow are assessed using Mann–Kendall and Sen's slope estimator, and sequential Mann–Kendall test. Results show flow decreases during 1961–1969, 1973–1976, and 1996–2020 and increases in 1969–1973 and 1976–1996. Temporal patterns of flow at Quy Chau and Nghia Khanh demonstrated synchronization across different time scales. Relationship between flow and rainfall is discussed to investigate insights into their relationship.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
6.20%
发文量
136
审稿时长
14 weeks
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