Elaine Cristina Gama dos Santos, Cristiane Silva Corrêa
{"title":"市政公共部门雇用工人:2020年至2030年巴西市政人口需求预测","authors":"Elaine Cristina Gama dos Santos, Cristiane Silva Corrêa","doi":"10.19094/contextus.2023.83438","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Given the context of demographic changes and population aging, this article aimed to estimate the need (ND) for hiring municipal public workers in Brazil, between 2020 and 2030, for the professional categories of Education, Health and Others. Based on data from the Annual Social Information List (RAIS, 2018), the methodology used was the microsimulation model for projecting civil servants by Brazilian municipality. The results suggest that the ND will increase for the set of professional categories and higher in the Southeast and Northeast regions, however, it remains negative for the Education category and positive for the Health category.","PeriodicalId":32836,"journal":{"name":"Contextus","volume":"20 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Hiring of workers in the municipal public sector: A projection of the demographic need by brazilian municipality, 2020 to 2030\",\"authors\":\"Elaine Cristina Gama dos Santos, Cristiane Silva Corrêa\",\"doi\":\"10.19094/contextus.2023.83438\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Given the context of demographic changes and population aging, this article aimed to estimate the need (ND) for hiring municipal public workers in Brazil, between 2020 and 2030, for the professional categories of Education, Health and Others. Based on data from the Annual Social Information List (RAIS, 2018), the methodology used was the microsimulation model for projecting civil servants by Brazilian municipality. The results suggest that the ND will increase for the set of professional categories and higher in the Southeast and Northeast regions, however, it remains negative for the Education category and positive for the Health category.\",\"PeriodicalId\":32836,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Contextus\",\"volume\":\"20 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Contextus\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.19094/contextus.2023.83438\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Contextus","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.19094/contextus.2023.83438","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Hiring of workers in the municipal public sector: A projection of the demographic need by brazilian municipality, 2020 to 2030
Given the context of demographic changes and population aging, this article aimed to estimate the need (ND) for hiring municipal public workers in Brazil, between 2020 and 2030, for the professional categories of Education, Health and Others. Based on data from the Annual Social Information List (RAIS, 2018), the methodology used was the microsimulation model for projecting civil servants by Brazilian municipality. The results suggest that the ND will increase for the set of professional categories and higher in the Southeast and Northeast regions, however, it remains negative for the Education category and positive for the Health category.
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