Velizara PENCHEVA, Asen ASENOV, Ivan GEORGIEV, Boril IVANOV, Ivelin ZANEV
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STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS
Given the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed under the condition that it is not possible for a self-propelled vessel to continue its voyage due to draft limitation. Options including waiting for navigation opening, partial lightening on a barge, and a complete or partial modal shift to rail or road transport through an alternative port are considered. An acceptable option is determined, taking into account the additional costs and transit time. A routing simulation is made using SPSS software.
期刊介绍：
Journal Transport Problems is a peer-reviewed open-access scientific journal, owned by Silesian University of Technology and has more than 10 years of experience. The editorial staff includes mainly employees of the Faculty of Transport. Editorial Board performs the functions of current work related to the publication of the next issues of the journal. The International Programming Council coordinates the long-term editorial policy the journal. The Council consists of leading scientists of the world, who deal with the problems of transport. This Journal is a source of information and research results in the transportation and communications science: transport research, transport technology, transport economics, transport logistics, transport law.
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