青藏高原雅鲁藏布江流域ERA5再分析降水资料评价

IF 3.1 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Journal of Hydrometeorology Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1175/jhm-d-22-0229.1
Yueli Chen, Minghu Ding, Guo Zhang, Ying Wang, Jianduo Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于大气模拟的网格降水数据集已广泛应用于水文和地表模拟,但在山区可能存在较大的不确定性。在地形气候复杂的雅鲁藏布江流域(YZRB),对欧洲中期天气预报再分析中心(ERA5)降水数据与两个融合降水数据集[中国气象局土地资料同化系统2.0版(CLDAS2.0)和中国气象强迫数据集(CMFD)]的表现进行了比较。与原位观测相比,ERA5能较好地捕捉降水的时空格局,但降水偏多,特别是在下游地区(怒峡下游排放站)。在相关系数方面,ERA5数据在月和年尺度上的总体表现略差于CMFD数据,与CLDAS2.0数据相当。考虑到格网数据与原位数据之间的空间不匹配可能会影响评估,我们还采用了水平衡方法来约束整个流域的降水量。CLDAS2.0和CMFD降水数据容易造成长期水分失衡,而ERA5具有更大的多年平均年降水量,能够更好地关闭水分收支。进一步分析表明,ERA5与原位观测多年平均年降水量的差异与亚栅格地形坡度和标准差密切相关,表明亚栅格地形对降水模拟有重要影响。这些发现表明,ERA5可以作为YZRB水文建模的潜在参考数据集。
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Evaluation of ERA5 Reanalysis Precipitation Data in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin of the Tibetan Plateau
Abstract Atmospheric simulation-based gridded precipitation datasets have been widely used in hydrological and land surface modeling, but may contain larger uncertainties in mountainous regions. This study compared the performance of the fifth European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) precipitation data with two fused precipitation datasets [China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System version 2.0 (CLDAS2.0) and China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD)] in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin (YZRB), which has a complex terrain and climate. Compared to in situ observations, ERA5 could capture the spatial–temporal pattern of precipitation but showed high precipitation, especially in the downstream region (lower Nuxia discharge station). In terms of the correlation coefficient, the overall performance of the ERA5 data was slightly worse than that for CMFD data at both the monthly and yearly scales, and was comparable to that of the CLDAS2.0 data. Given that the spatial mismatch between the gridded and in situ data may influence the evaluation, we also employed the water balance method to constrain basinwide precipitation amounts. We found that CLDAS2.0 and CMFD precipitation data tended to cause long-term water imbalance, and ERA5, with a much larger multiyear average annual precipitation, could better close the water budget. Further analysis showed that the differences in multiyear average annual precipitation between ERA5 and in situ observations were closely related to the slope and standard deviation of the subgrid-scale orography, indicating the substantial influence of subgrid topography on precipitation simulation. These findings highlight that ERA5 could be a potential reference dataset for hydrological modeling of the YZRB.
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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrometeorology
Journal of Hydrometeorology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
5.30%
发文量
116
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Hydrometeorology (JHM) (ISSN: 1525-755X; eISSN: 1525-7541) publishes research on modeling, observing, and forecasting processes related to fluxes and storage of water and energy, including interactions with the boundary layer and lower atmosphere, and processes related to precipitation, radiation, and other meteorological inputs.
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