调查白天和夜间与超速相关的撞车事故中影响伤害严重程度的因素的差异

IF 1.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI:10.1139/cjce-2023-0043
renteng yuan, Qiaojun Xiang, Yan Huang, Xin Gu
{"title":"调查白天和夜间与超速相关的撞车事故中影响伤害严重程度的因素的差异","authors":"renteng yuan, Qiaojun Xiang, Yan Huang, Xin Gu","doi":"10.1139/cjce-2023-0043","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the differences in the factors affecting the injury severity of speeding-related crashes occurring in the daytime and nighttime. Two log-likelihood ratio tests are conducted to validate whether speeding-related crashes classified by daytime and nighttime should be modeled separately. The result proves that separate modeling is necessary. Two correlated random parameter order probit models with heterogeneity in means are conducted using the data collected from 2018 to 2020 in the United States. Model estimation results show that urban areas, speed limits, and young and older drivers are temporal instability. Angle crashes, head-on crashes, intersections, downhill, exceeding the speed limit, drunk driving, and motorcycles are statistically significant in both models with an increased crash severity. Interaction and heterogeneity effects between random parameters are also reported. For instance, large trucks driving above the speed limit are more likely to increase the probability of severe injury.","PeriodicalId":9414,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Investigating the difference in factors influencing the injury severity between daytime and nighttime speeding-related crashes\",\"authors\":\"renteng yuan, Qiaojun Xiang, Yan Huang, Xin Gu\",\"doi\":\"10.1139/cjce-2023-0043\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study investigates the differences in the factors affecting the injury severity of speeding-related crashes occurring in the daytime and nighttime. Two log-likelihood ratio tests are conducted to validate whether speeding-related crashes classified by daytime and nighttime should be modeled separately. The result proves that separate modeling is necessary. Two correlated random parameter order probit models with heterogeneity in means are conducted using the data collected from 2018 to 2020 in the United States. Model estimation results show that urban areas, speed limits, and young and older drivers are temporal instability. Angle crashes, head-on crashes, intersections, downhill, exceeding the speed limit, drunk driving, and motorcycles are statistically significant in both models with an increased crash severity. Interaction and heterogeneity effects between random parameters are also reported. For instance, large trucks driving above the speed limit are more likely to increase the probability of severe injury.\",\"PeriodicalId\":9414,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1139/cjce-2023-0043\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, CIVIL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1139/cjce-2023-0043","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, CIVIL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了白天和夜间发生的与超速有关的撞车事故中影响伤害严重程度的因素的差异。进行了两个对数似然比测试来验证是否应该将白天和夜间分类的超速相关碰撞分别建模。结果表明,独立建模是必要的。利用美国2018 - 2020年的数据,建立了两个具有均值异质性的相关随机参数序probit模型。模型估计结果表明,城市区域、速度限制、年轻和老年驾驶员存在时间不稳定性。角度碰撞、正面碰撞、十字路口、下坡、超速、酒后驾驶和摩托车在两种车型中都具有统计学意义,碰撞严重程度增加。随机参数之间的相互作用和异质性效应也被报道。例如,大型卡车超速行驶更有可能增加严重受伤的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Investigating the difference in factors influencing the injury severity between daytime and nighttime speeding-related crashes
This study investigates the differences in the factors affecting the injury severity of speeding-related crashes occurring in the daytime and nighttime. Two log-likelihood ratio tests are conducted to validate whether speeding-related crashes classified by daytime and nighttime should be modeled separately. The result proves that separate modeling is necessary. Two correlated random parameter order probit models with heterogeneity in means are conducted using the data collected from 2018 to 2020 in the United States. Model estimation results show that urban areas, speed limits, and young and older drivers are temporal instability. Angle crashes, head-on crashes, intersections, downhill, exceeding the speed limit, drunk driving, and motorcycles are statistically significant in both models with an increased crash severity. Interaction and heterogeneity effects between random parameters are also reported. For instance, large trucks driving above the speed limit are more likely to increase the probability of severe injury.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering
Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
7.10%
发文量
105
审稿时长
14 months
期刊介绍: The Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering is the official journal of the Canadian Society for Civil Engineering. It contains articles on environmental engineering, hydrotechnical engineering, structural engineering, construction engineering, engineering mechanics, engineering materials, and history of civil engineering. Contributors include recognized researchers and practitioners in industry, government, and academia. New developments in engineering design and construction are also featured.
期刊最新文献
Enhancing winter road maintenance with explainable AI: SHAP analysis for interpreting machine learning models in road friction estimation Preface to the special issue on river ice and infrastructure Effect of hemispherical roughness spacing on Double-averaged turbulence characteristics for different flow submergence Ductility-related seismic modification factor for CLT shear-wall and Glulam moment-resisting frame dual system Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Post-Tensioned Timber Building Fitted with Dissipative Bracing System
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1