设计用于估算光伏年发电量的系统模型和程序:一项比较研究

Mehmet Fatih BEYOĞLU, Metin DEMİRTAŞ
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摘要

发电厂选址的适宜性评价需要长期的测量和计算。由于太阳能电站在项目过程中所预见的产能值直接影响到项目成本的回收期,因此正确计算具有重要意义。在本研究中,设计了一个模型和程序来寻找最接近的估计值。利用设计的模型对巴利克西尔54千瓦时太阳能发电厂(SPP)的能源产值进行了估算。重要的是,SPP由两组不同的角度、方向和容量组成,以比较计算的准确性。所开发的模型利用每小时的气象数据和目录值进行能源生产计算。该模型可以计算太阳的所有角度和系统的特征数据。将开发的程序与光伏地理信息系统(PVGIS)程序的能源生产结果进行了比较。分析结果表明,采用所设计的程序得到的结果更接近实际情况。与其他方案相比,该方案的优点是可以监测更多的光伏系统参数。
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Yıllık PV enerji üretiminin tahmini için sistem modeli ve programın tasarımı: karşılaştırmalı bir çalışma
Suitability evaluation of a location for power generation plant installation requires long-term measurements and calculations. Since the energy production values foreseen in the project process of the solar power plant directly affect the return period of the project cost, it is of great importance to make the calculations correctly. In this study, a model and program were designed to find the closest estimation values. Energy production values are estimated for 54 kWh solar power plant (SPP) in Balikesir using designed model. It is important that the SPP consists of two groups with different angles, directions and capacities in terms of comparing the accuracy of the calculation. The developed model used the hourly meteorological data and catalog values to Energy production calculations. The model allows making calculations for all the angles of the sun and the characteristic data of the system. The developed program was compared with energy production results of PVGIS (Photovoltaic Geographical Information System) programs. As a result of analysis, it has been observed that more realistic and closer results were produced by means of the designed program. The advantage of this program is that more parameters of the photovoltaic (PV) system can be monitored compared to the other programs.
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