外商直接投资、贸易开放与肯尼亚经济增长:基于ARDL方法的实证分析

Emilio Munene Gachoki
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摘要

本研究考察了贸易开放和外国直接投资对肯尼亚经济增长的长期影响。(1975 - 2021)。利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,研究结果表明贸易开放、经济增长和外国直接投资流入(FDI)具有长期稳定的协整关系。研究发现,短期贸易开放对外国直接投资具有有利和相当大的影响。然而,它最终发现,随着时间的推移,这种影响可以忽略不计。与贸易开放没有影响类似,经济增长对外国直接投资有有利的长期影响。报告建议将外国直接投资导向以出口为重点的工业,并在短期发展计划中促进出口导向的增长方法。
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Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Kenya: Empirical Analysis Using ARDL Approach
The long-term impacts of trade openness and foreign direct investment on Kenya's economic growth are examined in this study. (1975–2021). using the ARDL (autoregressive distributed lags) model the findings imply that trade openness, economic growth, and foreign direct investment inflows (FDI) have a long-run stable co-integration relationship. Short-term trade openness was found to have a favourable and considerable impact on foreign direct investment. However, it ultimately found out that the influence was negligible over time. Similar to how trade openness had no impact, economic growth had a favourable and long-term influence on FDI. The report suggests that FDI be directed towards industries that are focused on exports and that export-led growth methods be promoted in short-term development plans.
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