影响乌克兰农业保险市场的内部因素识别与解释

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Naukovi gorizonti Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI:10.48077/scihor10.2023.150
Oleh Skydan, Oleksandr Vilenchuk, Petro Pyvovar, Pavlo Topolnytskyi, Inna Shubenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

乌克兰农业保险市场的运作是一种客观现实,也是为农业生产创造安全环境的迫切需要。在保险领域整合财政资源的能力有助于增加对在空间和时间上分布的可能风险的责任,因此值得考虑农业部门的保险关系。本研究的目的是在理论上和方法上证明确定影响乌克兰农业保险市场进一步运作的内部因素的过程是正确的。本研究的方法论视角是基于认知活动的一般科学和特定方法的使用:抽象逻辑、经济统计、结构功能、演绎、归纳和形式化。根据乌克兰各地区,建立了2012-2021年期间的小组数据库。反映了乌克兰西部、中部、东部和南部地区保险面积与播种面积之比变化的地域特征。根据所建立的模型(同时提出常规模型和一年滞后模型两种模型)的结果,建立了播种面积、产量、总产量和农产品内部价格等因素对保险面积的影响。使用“残差标准误差”、“多重r平方”和“调整r平方”等指标对所提出模型的统计质量进行了比较。回归分析的结果显示,某些因素在激励农产品生产者参与保险过程中具有统计学意义。建议措施的实用价值在于为加强战时和战后农业保险市场利益相关者之间的合作提出切实可行的建议
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Identification and interpretation of internal factors influencing the agricultural insurance market in Ukraine
The functioning of the agricultural insurance market in Ukraine is an objective reality and a necessity due to the urgent need to create a safe environment for agricultural production. The ability to consolidate financial resources in the field of insurance contributes to increased responsibility for probable risks distributed in space and time, so it is worth considering insurance relations in the agricultural sector. The purpose of the study is to theoretically and methodologically justify the processes of identifying internal factors influencing the further functioning of the agricultural insurance market in Ukraine. The methodological perspective of this study is based on the use of general scientific and specific methods of cognitive activity: abstract-logical, economic-statistical, structuralfunctional, deduction, induction, and formalisation. A panel database was formed for the period 2012-2021 broken down by the regions of Ukraine. The territorial features of changes in the ratio between insured and sown areas in the western, central, eastern, and southern regions of Ukraine are reflected. Based on the results of the conducted modelling (two models are presented simultaneously: a regular model and a one-year lag model), the influence on the insured area of such factors as sown area, yield, gross harvest, and internal price for agricultural products is established. A comparative characteristic of the statistical qualities of the presented models was made using indicators such as “Residual standard error”, “Multiple R-squared”, and “Adjusted R-squared”. The results of the regression analysis showed the statistical significance of certain factors in motivating agricultural commodity producers to participate in the insurance process. The practical value of the proposed measures lies in formulating practical recommendations for enhancing cooperation among stakeholders in the agricultural insurance market during wartime and post-war periods
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来源期刊
Naukovi gorizonti
Naukovi gorizonti Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
115
审稿时长
4 weeks
期刊最新文献
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