政府支出、预算赤字与影子经济

IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Journal of Economic Policy Reform Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI:10.1080/17487870.2023.2268250
Duc Hong Vo, Ngoc Phu Tran, Toan Pham-Khanh Tran, Quan Thai-Thuong Le, Phuc Van Nguyen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要影子经济已成为全球各国,特别是新兴市场国家面临的一个具有挑战性的问题。预算赤字的增加使政府无法利用公共支出来控制不断增长的影子经济。本文研究了1990 - 2019年东盟七国政府支出对影子经济的影响以及预算赤字对这种影响的调节作用。我们发现,在东盟国家,政府支出的增加与影子经济的增加有关。有趣的是,政府支出对影子经济的影响在短期和长期内都会随着预算赤字的增加而加剧。关键词:政府支出影子经济预算赤字东盟国家分类:E6H6H11披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。
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Government expenditure, budget deficit and shadow economy
ABSTRACTThe shadow economy has emerged as a challenging issue for countries globally, particularly emerging markets. An increased budget deficit prevents the governments from using public expenditure to control the increased shadow economy. This paper examines the effect of government expenditure on the shadow economy and the moderating role of budget deficit affecting this impact for the ASEAN-7 countries from 1990 to 2019. We find that increased government spending is associated with an increased shadow economy in ASEAN countries. Interestingly, the effects of government expenditure on the shadow economy intensify with increased budget deficit in the short and long term.KEYWORDS: Government expenditureshadow economybudget deficitARDLthe ASEAN countriesJEL CLASSIFICATIONS: E6H6H11 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: The Journal of Economic Policy Reform focuses on the analysis of economic policy reform. The journal draws upon what lessons can be learned from the successes and failures of countries undertaking reforms and how existing theories can be developed to shed light on positive as well as normative aspects of the reform process. The Journal of Economic Policy Reform encourages work from economists and political economy analysts on policies to promote growth and reduce poverty, intellectual property rights, aid versus trade, debt and debt relief, taxation and social security systems, surveys of key reform issues, as well as on corruption, democracy, emerging markets and the role of multilateral institutions.
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