通过指数级的超多数门槛自动扶梯来防止领导人的专制

IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Frontiers in Political Science Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI:10.3389/fpos.2023.1173646
Reuven Shapira
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文关注的是领导人的宪法任期限制的替代方案,这些限制未能保护无数国家的民主,因为它们没有减少连任竞选中的在职优势。这样的削减可以达到超级多数门槛,从而为现任议员的连任创造条件。研究发现,为领导办公室设置超级多数门槛可以提高领导质量。然而,领导人的专制主义构成了民主领导质量的更严重问题。为现任总统的连任设定不断上升的超级多数门槛,将通过减少现任总统在连任竞选中的优势,阻止专制势力的巩固。无论是序数式还是指数式的自动梯式,都将成功的、道德高尚的有效领导人的任期延长至两届以上,使他们能够利用积累的信任信用来推进激进的变革,而未能达到绝对多数门槛的现任领导人则会被替换。然而,序数版本缺乏终结任期,因此可能无法防止专制的巩固,而指数版本的终结任期确保了继承,而不断增加的超级多数门槛则缓解了领导人权力资源的指数增长。在现任总统未能再次当选后,没有他/她的第二轮投票将给获胜者一个明确的执政授权。最后提出了通过指数递增的超多数阈值来阻止领导人壕沟的进一步研究建议。JEL分类D02;D70;K16;Z13;Z18。
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Preventing leaders' autocratic entrenchment by exponential super-majority threshold escalators
This article focuses on alternatives to leaders' constitutional term limits which failed to protect democracy in innumerable countries as they did not reduce incumbency advantages in re-election contests. Such a reduction can achieve a super-majority thresholds escalator for incumbents' re-election. Research has found that setting super-majority thresholds for leadership offices improves the quality of leadership. However, leaders' autocratic entrenchment poses the worse problem of democratic leadership quality. Setting escalating super-majority thresholds for an incumbent's re-election would bar autocratic entrenchment by reducing her/his incumbency advantages in re-election contests. Both ordinal and exponential escalator versions prolong the tenure of successful high-moral effective leaders beyond two terms, allowing them to use accumulated trust credit to advance radical changes, while incumbents who fail to achieve a super-majority threshold are replaced. However, the ordinal version lacks a terminal term, thus it may not prevent autocratic entrenchment, while the exponential version with its terminal term that ensures succession while escalating super-majority thresholds mitigates the exponential growth of leaders' power resources with tenure. After an incumbent fails to re-elect, a second voting round without her/him will give the winner a clear mandate to rule. Suggestions for further study of barring leaders' entrenchment by exponential escalating super-majority thresholds are offered. JEL classification D02; D70; K16; Z13; Z18.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Political Science
Frontiers in Political Science Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
135
审稿时长
13 weeks
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