俄罗斯联邦堪察加边疆区向可持续发展过渡的前景

M. Yu. Dyakov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

向可持续发展过渡仍然是国家和区域两级的一项紧迫任务。对于俄罗斯远东地区来说,由于这些地区拥有大量的自然资本和当地生态系统的脆弱性,这个问题尤为重要。在关于远东地区之一(堪察加边疆区)的例子的文章中,确定了向可持续和平衡发展模式过渡的可能方向。本研究的目的是使用模拟工具评估这种过渡的替代方案。在工作过程中,提出了该地区的一个特征,主要组成部分是自然、人力和物质资本的评估。与此同时,复杂区域平衡的定义被制定为可持续性的区域预测和最佳利用所有类型资本的机会空间。复杂的区域平衡由生态经济、生态社会和社会经济组成。基于算法网络语言,建立了区域可持续平衡发展的仿真模型,并在此基础上进行了一系列实验。所取得的成果使人们能够把重点放在优先发展人力资本和支持创新上,将其作为向可持续性和综合区域平衡模式过渡的首选办法。
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Transition prospects to sustainable development of the Kamchatka Krai in the Russian Federation
The transition to sustainable development remains an urgent task both at the national and regional levels. For the regions of the Far East in Russia this issue is of particular relevance due to the high amount of natural capital they have and the vulnerability of local ecosystems. In the article on the example of one of the regions of the Far East (Kamchatka Krai) possible directions for the transition to a model of sustainable and balanced development are identified. The purpose of this study is to evaluate alternatives for such a transition using simulation tools. In the course of the work a characteristic of the region was presented with the main components’ assessment of natural, human and physical capital. At the same time the definition of a complex regional balance is formulated as a regional projection of sustainability and a space of opportunities for the optimal use of all types of capital. The complex regional balance consists of ecologicaleconomic, ecological-social and socio-economic components. Based on the language of algorithmic networks, a simulation model complex for sustainable balanced development of the region has been developed, on which a series of experiments has been run. The results obtained make it possible to focus on the preferential development of human capital and on the support of innovation as the preferred option for the transition to a model of sustainability and integrated regional balance.
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审稿时长
8 weeks
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