中美贸易战对台湾企业研发投资及向技术先进国家对外投资的影响

IF 4.6 3区 管理学 Q1 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR International Journal of Manpower Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI:10.1108/ijm-02-2023-0073
Y. Lai, Santanu Sarkar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是了解中美贸易战对台湾企业研发支出的影响与他们在技术先进国家(TAC)的离岸投资之间即将发生的关系,作者研究了这些公司的研发比例的变化以及台湾劳动力市场中熟练工人的增加是否影响了他们在TAC的离岸投资。设计/方法/方法作者利用2012-2019年的汇总横截面时间序列数据建立模型,研究了台湾国内企业研发比例的变化和台湾劳动力市场中技术工人的增加是否影响了这些企业在贸易战期间的海外投资。利用人力利用调查的数据,作者运用差异中差异和差异中差异的估计方法,发现贸易战确实促进了台湾的就业市场,特别是对熟练工人而言。从估计结果中,作者注意到,在更多公司投入研发和投资离岸业务的行业,就业机会增加,技术工人的收入下降。然而,在贸易战期间,台湾的企业在海外业务投资很高的行业中,没有大量投入研发,也吸引了技术工人。深入分析贸易战对国内企业研发支出及其在TAC的离岸业务投资的影响,应该有助于决策者了解贸易战和企业研发支出的后续变化对劳动力市场结果的影响。如果研发比例的变化和技术工人的稳定供应影响了外国直接投资(FDI)流向TAC,那么这一见解可能有助于制定政策和措施,以遏制贸易战对国内研发支出的影响。研究结果不仅为台湾的政策制定者提供了广泛的经验教训,而且国家案例研究可以指导同样谨慎的增长经济体,同时将贸易战视为国内研发支出和外国直接投资流出的重大阻碍。
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The impact of the US–China trade war on Taiwanese firms' R&D investment and outward investment to technologically advanced countries
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to understand the impending relationship between the impact of the US–China trade war on Taiwanese firms' spending on R&D and their offshore investment in technologically advanced countries (TAC), the authors examined if changes in these firms' R&D ratios and the growing presence of skilled workers in Taiwan's labour market during the trade war have affected their offshore investments in TAC.Design/methodology/approach Using a model built on pooled cross-sectional time-series data from 2012–2019, the authors examined whether a change in R&D ratios of domestic firms in Taiwan and the growing presence of skilled workers in Taiwan's labour market have affected the offshore investment by these firms during the trade war. Using data from the Manpower Utilisation Survey, the authors applied differences–in–differences–in–differences and differences–in–differences–in–differences–in–differences estimation methods and found that the trade war indeed gave a boost to Taiwan's job market, particularly for skilled workers.Findings From the estimation results, the authors noticed a rise in employment opportunities alongside a decline in the earnings of skilled workers in industries where more firms have spent on R&D as well as invested in offshore operations. However, firms in Taiwan that had not heavily spent on R&D from industries where investment in foreign operations was otherwise high have also attracted skilled workers during the trade war.Practical implicationsAn in-depth analysis of the impact of the trade war on domestic firms' spending on R&D and their investment in offshore operations in TAC should be helpful to policymakers interested in understanding the effects of the trade war and subsequent changes in firms' spending on R&D on labour market outcomes. If changes in the R&D ratios and a steady supply of skilled workers influenced the outflow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to TAC, this insight could be helpful for those devising policies and measures to curb the impact of the trade war on domestic spending on R&D.Originality/value The study findings not only provide broad lessons to policymakers in Taiwan, but the country case study can guide growing economies that are equally careful while perceiving trade war as a significant deterrent to domestic R&D spending and the outflow of FDI.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
11.40%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: ■Employee welfare ■Human aspects during the introduction of technology ■Human resource recruitment, retention and development ■National and international aspects of HR planning ■Objectives of human resource planning and forecasting requirements ■The working environment
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