解读马来西亚南海油气勘探的海洋外交属性

IF 2.3 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Frontiers in Political Science Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI:10.3389/fpos.2023.1286577
Bama Andika Putra
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引用次数: 0

摘要

海洋外交研究将南海油气开发视为理所当然的事件。相反,本研究认为,评估能源储备勘探所固有的海洋外交属性可以揭示海洋外交事件的独特见解、动机和意义。本研究以勒米尔的海洋外交属性分析框架为基础,对马来西亚在卢科尼亚浅滩的石油和天然气勘探进行了评估。利用 2020 年至 2023 年间亚洲海事透明度倡议(Asian Maritime Transparency Initiative)中与马来西亚在卢科尼亚浅滩的石油和天然气项目开发相关的二手数据,本文得出结论认为,海事外交事件具有以下特征:(1)先发制人和持续性,强调马来西亚满足国内日益增长的能源需求的长期计划;(2)向中国官员传递信息的明确性,以消除对手误解马来西亚海上行动的可能性;(3)由于部署了硬实力资产来处理危机,可支配的致命武器具有适度的动能效应。对马来西亚海上外交属性的评估还揭示了两个令人担忧的结论:(1)存在被动事件,由于马来西亚皇家海军的行动缺乏计划性,可能会造成海上混乱;(2)中国和马来西亚之间的力量关系不对称,预计会导致中国继续在海上进行力量投射,并使马来西亚决策者感到不安。
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Deciphering the maritime diplomatic properties of Malaysia's oil and gas explorations in the South China Sea
Studies in maritime diplomacy have treated the development of oil and gas explorations in the South China Sea as taken-for-granted events. On the contrary, this study argues that assessing the maritime diplomatic properties inherent in energy reserve explorations can reveal unique insights, motivations, and significance of maritime diplomatic events. It assesses Malaysia's oil and gas explorations in the Luconia Shoals, informed by the analytical framework of Le Mière's maritime diplomatic properties. Utilizing secondary data from the Asian Maritime Transparency Initiative between 2020 and 2023 related to Malaysia's oil and gas project developments in the Luconia Shoals, this article concludes that the maritime diplomatic events consist of the following characteristics: (1) pre-emptive and sustainment, underlining Malaysia's long-term plan of fulfilling the growing domestic energy demand, (2) explicitness of the messages transmitted to Chinese officials in order to repel any possibilities of adversaries misconstruing Malaysia's actions at sea, and (3) moderate kinetic effect due to the lethal weaponry at the disposal of the hard power assets deployed to handle occurring crisis. Evaluation of Malaysia's maritime diplomatic properties also reveals two worrying conclusions: (1) the existence of reactive events, which can cause disruptions at sea due to the lack of planning related to the actions taken by the Royal Malaysian Navy, and (2) asymmetrical power relations between China and Malaysia, predicted to cause China to continue its power projections at sea and aggravate Malaysian policymakers.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Political Science
Frontiers in Political Science Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
135
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊最新文献
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