生产系统开发项目效果评估:Lytkarino 光学玻璃厂案例研究

M. Abdulkadyrov, A. N. Ignatov, N. N. Kulikova, E. S. Mityakov
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目标。只有通过建立和利用高效的国内生产能力,才能实现有效的进口替代。本研究旨在制定和论证一种方法,用于综合评估引进新设备项目(包括进口替代项目)的效果。研究基于系统和辩证方法,以及系统、比较、经济和数学方法以及统计分析。本文提出了一种综合评估生产系统开发项目的方法。为了进行综合评估,制定了一套指标体系来研究生产系统开发项目(即引进新设备的项目)的效果。引进新设备的影响可分为内部影响和外部影响:潜在发展、社会经济、进口独立性、公共影响和环境影响。这些指标不是当前值,而是动态变化。在实施生产系统发展项目时,全面考虑这些影响可以扩大现有的决策标准。此外,还可以评估对企业和社会的影响。作者确定了每组效应的定量和定性指标。在作者指标体系的基础上,开发了一种使用归一化指数进行指标比较的方法,并证实了通用指标的计算方法。在 Lytkarino 光学玻璃厂科学密集型企业评估用于发展生产系统的新型国产设备时,对所提出的指标体系进行了成功测试。经批准的综合评估方法的结果使我们能够使用各种指标对引进科学密集型项目的效果进行定量和定性评估。其中包括机器设备进口替代项目。各种效应的组合与任何社会经济系统都有关系,因此,建议的综合评估效应的方法在一 定程度上是通用的。因此,它可适用于任何工业企业的进口替代科学、技术和工艺项目。
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Assessment of the effects of production system development projects: Case study of Lytkarino Optical Glass Factory
Objectives. Effective import substitution can be achieved only through the creation and use of efficient domestic production capacities. The aim of this study is to develop and justify a method for the integrated assessment of the effects of projects aimed at the introduction of new equipment, including import substitution projects.Methods. The research was based on systemic and dialectical approaches, as well as systemic, comparative, economic and mathematical methods, and statistical analysis.Results. The paper proposes a method for the integrated assessment of production system development projects. In order to obtain a synthetic assessment, a system of indicators was developed to study the effects of production system development projects, i.e., projects for the introduction of new equipment. The effects of the introduction of new equipment can be divided into internal and external: potential development, socioeconomic, import independence, public, and environmental. The indicators are not current values, but changes in dynamics. A comprehensive consideration of the effects allows the existing criteria for decision-making to be expanded when implementing projects to develop the production system. It also allows the impact on both the enterprise and society to be assessed. The authors define both the quantitative and qualitative indicators for each group of effects. On the basis of the author’s system of indicators, a methodology for comparative comparison of indicators using normalized indices was developed and the calculation of a generalized indicator substantiated. The proposed system of indicators was successfully tested at the Lytkarino Optical Glass Factory science-intensive enterprise when assessing a new domestic device for the development of the production system.Conclusions. The results of the approved method for integrated assessment enabled the use of diverse indicators for the quantitative and qualitative assessment of the effects of the introduction of science-intensive projects. This included projects for import substitution of machinery and equipment. A combination of various effects will be relevant to any socioeconomic system, so the proposed integrated assessment method for evaluating the effects is universal to a certain extent. It can thus be adapted for scientific, technical and technological projects on import substitution of any industrial enterprise.
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