中国人口问题对经济的影响

Arthur S. Guarino
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摘要

中国正面临着一个完全来自内部的重大威胁:人口萎缩。自 20 世纪 70 年代末以来,中国的人口增长是其经济和金融扩张的关键因素,并使其国内生产总值成为世界第一。虽然中国领导人最近出台了加快出生率的政策,但许多分析家认为,这对于扭转危险的趋势来说为时已晚。这些分析家预测,人口减少将从经济和金融角度影响中国,最终导致中国从全球主要经济体的位置上跌落。
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The Economic Implications of China’s Demographic Problems
China is facing a major threat that is entirely internal: a shrinking population. China’s population growth is a key factor for its economic and financial expansion since the late 1970’s and has allowed its gross domestic product to become the largest in the world. But in recent years, China’s population has started a dangerous decline that worries its policymakers and can only get worse.While China’s leaders have recently introduced policies to accelerate the birthrate, many analysts feel that this is too late to reverse a perilous trend. These analysts predict that a shrinking population will affect China from an economic and financial perspective that will eventually cause it to fall from its place as a major global economy.The aim and purpose of this article is to examine the economic implications of China’s demographic problems.
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