衡量和分析(1990-2022 年)期间汇率对伊拉克货币需求的影响

Shorsh Qadir Ali, Narmin Marouf Ghafoor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在根据研究变量的年度数据,找出 1990-2022 年期间汇率对伊拉克货币需求的影响。通过使用(ARDL)模型对标准模型进行了估计,以确定变量之间的关系。结果证明,汇率对货币需求有负面影响。结果还显示,官方汇率在短期内影响显著,但在长期内影响较弱且不显著。因此,提出了一系列建议,包括在制定货币政策时必须考虑货币需求的决定因素,包括汇率。此外,还需要根据经济和地区发展情况,对经济单位的货币需求行为进行更多的应用研究,以达到经济稳定的状态。
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Measuring and analyzing the effect of the exchange rate on the money demand in Iraq during the period (1990- 2022)
The research aims to find out the effect of the exchange rate on the money demand in Iraq for the period (1990-2022) based on annual data for the research variables. A standard model has been estimated to determine the relationship between the variables by using the (ARDL) model . The results proved that the exchange rate has a negative impact on the demand for money. The results also showed that the official exchange rate is significant in the short-term period, but its effect is weak and insignificant in the long-term period. As for the exchange rate in the parallel market, it has a greater impact on the money demand in the short and long term compared to the official exchange rate.Accordingly, a set of proposals were presented, including the necessity of taking into account the determinants of the money demand, including the exchange rate, when formulating monetary policy. In addition to the need to conduct more applied studies on the behavior of monetary demand for economic units in light of economic and regional developments in order to reach a state of economic stability.
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