2019-2021 年 COVID-19 大流行前后汇率、通货膨胀和基准利率对 IDX 综合指数的影响分析

Alifio Ananda Shatria, M. Taufiq
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摘要

本研究探讨了 COVID-19 之前和期间通货膨胀、汇率和印度尼西亚银行(BI)利率对 IDX 综合指数的影响。研究对象包括 2019 年至 2021 年期间在印尼证券交易所(IDX)IDX 综合指数上市的公司,样本时间跨度为 36 个月。本研究采用多元线性回归、相关性、多重共线性和异方差等定量方法进行经典假设检验。系数确定检验、t 检验和 F 检验都是假设检验的一部分。研究结果表明,由于货币汇率的影响,通货膨胀和 BI 率具有同步效应。在 2019 年至 2021 年 COVID-19 期间,通货膨胀、货币汇率和 BI 汇率这三个变量都会对 IDX 综合指数产生影响。
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Analysis of Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Benchmark Interest Rate Impacts on the IDX Composite Index Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Years of 2019-2021
This research examines the impact of inflation, exchange rate, and Bank Indonesia (BI) interest rate on the IDX Composite Index before and during COVID-19. This research's subjects include companies listed on the IDX Composite Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2019 to 2021, spanning a 36-month sample period. This research employs quantitative methods such as multiple linear regression, correlation, multicollinearity, and heteroscedasticity as the classical assumption testing. The coefficient determination test, t-test, and F-test are all part of hypothesis testing. The findings of this research show that inflation and the BI rate have a simultaneous effect due to the influence of the currency rate. All three variables: inflation, currency rate, and BI rate could all have an impact on the IDX Composite Index before and during COVID-19 between 2019 and 2021.
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