欧盟国家青年劳动力市场状况评估--多元回归法

IF 1.1 Q3 ECONOMICS Econometrics Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.15611/eada.2023.3.03
Magdalena Kawecka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 本文探讨了欧盟国家受失业影响的 20-24 岁青年在劳动力市场上的问题。失业是最重要的经济和社会问题之一,同时也是反映经济状况的最大指标之一。欧盟国家经济形势的多样性直接影响到年轻人,他们是进入劳动力市场的一个单独群体,几乎没有专业经验。同时,他们已经做好了开始工作的准备,在进入市场时面临着巨大的困难,受到社会经济和人口因素的影响,这些因素直接或间接地影响着就业。考虑到上述前提,本文旨在确定欧盟 20-24 岁年轻人失业的决定因素。研究使用了 2010 年和 2020 年两年的数据,并采用了多元回归法。统计数据来自欧盟统计局数据库。通过这项研究,可以检查个别社会经济因素和人口因素对青年失业率影响的依赖性。研究发现,多元回归显示,与劳动力市场状况相关的青年参与教育和培训(包括 NEET 率)以及社会包容等因素对所研究的失业率有重大影响。在这十年中,大多数欧盟成员国的失业率都有所下降,多达 19 个国家,而其余 8 个国家的失业率则有所上升。
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Evaluation of the Labour Market Situation of Young People in EU Countries – The Multiple Regression Approach
Abstract The article considers the problems of young people aged 20-24 on the labour market affected by unemployment in European Union countries. Unemployment is one of the most important economic and social problems, which at the same time constitutes one of the biggest measures characterising the condition of the economy. The diversity of the economic situation in EU countries directly affects young people, an individual group of people entering the labour market and have little or no professional experience. At the same time, they are ready to start work, facing great difficulties in entering the market, influenced by socio-economic as well as demographic factors which directly and indirectly affect employment. Considering the above premise, the aim of the article was to identify the determinants of unemployment of young people aged 20-24 in the EU. The study used data from two years: 2010 and 2020, and applied multiple regression. Statistical data were taken from Eurostat databases. The study allowed to examine the dependence of the influence of individual socioeconomic as well as demographic factors on youth unemployment. The study found that the multivariate regression showed that factors related to young people's participation in education and training (including the NEET rate) relative to labour market status, as well as social inclusion, had a significant impact on the unemployment studied. Over the decade, a decrease was seen in unemployment in most EU member states, in as many as 19 countries, while the remaining eight countries showed an increase.
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来源期刊
Econometrics
Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
20.00%
发文量
30
审稿时长
11 weeks
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