犯罪、环境、服务特点和公交乘客:多层次分析

IF 3.5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Transportation Pub Date : 2024-01-20 DOI:10.1007/s11116-023-10459-0
Jianling Li, Qian He, Qisheng Pan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管犯罪被公认为是影响乘客数量的一个不利因素,但检验犯罪对乘客数量影响的实证研究较少,结果也不确定。此外,现有研究尽管使用了具有层次结构的数据,但很少进行多层次分析。本研究利用德克萨斯三角区五大城市 2018 年的数据和多层次负二叉回归,弥补了这些不足。结果显示,在控制了其他影响后,犯罪与乘客数量之间存在非线性关系。公交服务特征和犯罪是预测乘客人数的首要因素。公交出行率对乘客数量的影响因犯罪而异。研究结果对公交乘客研究和公交服务改进具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Crime, environments, service characteristics, and transit ridership: a multilevel analysis

Although crime is well recognized as a factor detrimental to ridership, fewer empirical studies have tested the effect of crime on ridership and results are inconclusive. Moreover, existing studies seldom perform multilevel analysis despite using data with a hierarchical structure. This research addresses these gaps using the 2018 data of the five largest cities in the Texas Triangle and multilevel negative binomial regression. The results reveal a non-linear relationship between crime and ridership after controlling for other effects. Transit service characteristics and crime are the top predictors of ridership. The effect of transit trip rate on ridership varies contingent upon crime. The findings have significant implications for research on transit ridership and the improvement of transit services.

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来源期刊
Transportation
Transportation 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
10.70
自引率
4.70%
发文量
94
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: In our first issue, published in 1972, we explained that this Journal is intended to promote the free and vigorous exchange of ideas and experience among the worldwide community actively concerned with transportation policy, planning and practice. That continues to be our mission, with a clear focus on topics concerned with research and practice in transportation policy and planning, around the world. These four words, policy and planning, research and practice are our key words. While we have a particular focus on transportation policy analysis and travel behaviour in the context of ground transportation, we willingly consider all good quality papers that are highly relevant to transportation policy, planning and practice with a clear focus on innovation, on extending the international pool of knowledge and understanding. Our interest is not only with transportation policies - and systems and services – but also with their social, economic and environmental impacts, However, papers about the application of established procedures to, or the development of plans or policies for, specific locations are unlikely to prove acceptable unless they report experience which will be of real benefit those working elsewhere. Papers concerned with the engineering, safety and operational management of transportation systems are outside our scope.
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