安倍经济学的长期经济影响:合成控制法的证据

IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Economic Papers Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI:10.1111/1759-3441.12408
Josh Matti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了旨在振兴日本经济的一揽子综合政策--安倍经济学的长期因果影响。研究采用合成控制法(SCM)评估了安倍经济学对各种经济指标的影响。研究结果显示,安倍经济学的影响喜忧参半,没有证据表明安倍经济学减少了预算赤字或促进了出口,但对实际人均国内生产总值产生了积极影响,同时降低了失业率。对劳动力参与率的影响则较弱,主要是统计意义上的微弱增长。这些结果为全面政策干预的有效性提供了启示,并为全球经济放缓时期的政策制定者提供了借鉴。
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The Long-Term Economic Impact of Abenomics: Evidence from the Synthetic Control Method

This paper examines the long-term causal impact of Abenomics, a comprehensive policy package aiming to revitalise the Japanese economy. Using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM), the study assesses the effects of Abenomics across a variety of economic indicators. The findings reveal mixed impacts, with no evidence of Abenomics reducing budget deficits or boosting exports, but a positive effect on real GDP per capita paired with a reduction in the unemployment rate. The evidence regarding the effect on labor force participation rates is weaker, with primarily statistically insignificant increases observed. These results offer insights into the effectiveness of comprehensive policy interventions and provide lessons for policymakers globally in the midst of a global economic slowdown.

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来源期刊
Economic Papers
Economic Papers ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Economic Papers is one of two journals published by the Economics Society of Australia. The journal features a balance of high quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis which distinguishes it from other Australian journals. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. Contributions are sought from economists working in these areas and should be written to be accessible to a wide section of our readership. All contributions are refereed.
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