一英镑买信息还是一便士买治疗?农民对牲畜疾病检测和治疗的经济决策

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI:10.1111/1467-8489.12552
Abenezer Zeleke Aklilu, Katarina Elofsson, Peter Halvarsson, Petter Kjellander, Johan Höglund
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引用次数: 0

摘要

牲畜疾病威胁着牲畜的生产力和盈利能力。在本研究中,我们考察了瑞典农民在检测和治疗绵羊胃肠道寄生虫方面的显性偏好,并考虑了这些决策的顺序结构。我们对预防措施以及野生动物-牲畜疾病传播对农民决策的潜在影响进行了控制。我们使用了零膨胀有序概率模型来估计农民决策的决定因素,并交叉验证了结果对其他模型假设的稳健性。回归结果用于计算这些选择对农民利润的影响。结果表明,粪便检测为治疗决策提供了信息,而检测和治疗都受到放牧方式、经营规模和信息获取途径的影响。与概念框架的预期相反,预防性管理措施与治疗呈正相关。农民在决定检测时会考虑多种风险因素,但我们没有发现同样的因素会影响治疗结果。经济影响较小,表明对农民来说,不进行事先检测的治疗比知情治疗更有利可图。如果广泛的治疗会增加抗药性,这将促使制定鼓励检测的政策。
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A pound for information or a penny for cure: Farmers' economic decisions on testing and treatment of livestock diseases

Livestock productivity and profitability are threatened by livestock diseases. In this study, we examine farmers' revealed preferences for testing and treating gastrointestinal parasites in sheep in Sweden, taking into account the sequential structure of these decisions. We control for preventive measures, as well as the potential impact of wildlife–livestock disease transmission on farmers' decisions. A zero-inflated ordered probit model is used to estimate the determinants of farmers' decisions, and we cross-validate the robustness of the results to alternative model assumptions. Results from the regressions are used to calculate the consequences of these choices for farmers' profits. The results show that treatment decisions are informed by faecal testing, while both testing and treatment are influenced by the grazing practices, the size of the operation and access to information. Contrary to expectations from the conceptual framework, preventive management practices are positively correlated with treatment. Farmers take multiple risk factors into account when deciding on testing, but we do not find that the same factors affect the outcome of treatment. The economic impacts are small and suggest that treatment without prior testing is more profitable for the farmer than informed treatment. If widespread treatment increases drug resistance, this could motivate policies that encourage testing.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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