首次代币发行的基本面分析

Yunxia Bai, Bofu Zhang
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摘要

本研究旨在揭示在全球范围内首次代币发行(ICO)取得成功的关键因素。通过对 ICO 特征的全面分析,我们探讨了这些特征与 ICO 项目最终成功之间错综复杂的关系。我们的实证研究结果表明,获得预售资金的项目加上全面的代币销售信息,实现 ICO 成功的可能性明显增加。我们还采用了自动机器学习方法,为 ICO 成功的潜在决定因素提供了有价值的见解。此外,我们通过使用 SHAP 值来辨别各种 ICO 特征的相对重要性,并研究这些属性之间的相关性,从而深入探讨 ICO 成功背后的根本原因。这项研究有助于加深对 ICO 动态的理解,并提供了有关影响 ICO 项目成功的关键因素的经验证据。这些见解对行业从业者和政策制定者驾驭基于区块链的筹款活动的不断发展具有重要意义。
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Fundamental analysis of Initial Coin Offerings
This study endeavours to discern the pivotal factors contributing to the success of initial coin offerings (ICOs) on a global scale. Through a comprehensive analysis of ICO characteristics, we explore the intricate relationship between these attributes and the ultimate success of ICO projects. Our empirical findings show that projects that have secured presale funding, coupled with comprehensive token sale information, exhibit a markedly increased likelihood of achieving ICO success. We also employ the automated machine learning method to offer valuable insights into the potential determinants of ICO success. Furthermore, we delve into the underlying rationale behind ICO success by employing SHAP values to discern the relative importance of various ICO characteristics and examine the correlations among these attributes. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of ICO dynamics and offers empirical evidence regarding the critical factors that shape the success of ICO projects. Such insights hold significant implications for both industry practitioners and policymakers seeking to navigate the evolving landscape of blockchain-based fundraising initiatives.
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