向欧洲偷运被迫移民:匹配模式

IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Journal of Population Economics Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI:10.1007/s00148-024-00993-1
Olivier Charlot, Claire Naiditch, Radu Vranceanu
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摘要

本文以过去十年间从非洲之角和中东向欧洲偷运移民的相关经验证据为基础,建立了一个匹配模型来分析被迫移民的偷运市场。均衡解的比较统计显示,针对偷运者的强制措施减少了非正常移民和偷运者的数量,但却牺牲了移民的整体福利。略微增加合法移民的机会有一个有趣的特点,即在不恶化移民福利或增加移民总数的情况下,减少非正常移民流动。限制性极强的庇护政策与相当宽松的庇护政策对非正常移民流动的影响相似,在 "中档 "政策下,非正常移民的流动量最大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Smuggling of forced migrants to Europe: a matching model

This paper develops a matching model to analyze the smuggling market for forced migrants, building on the empirical evidence related to the smuggling of migrants from the Horn of Africa and the Middle East to Europe in the last decade. Comparative statics for the equilibrium solution reveal that coercion-based measures targeting the smugglers reduce the number of irregular migrants and smugglers at the expense of migrants’ overall welfare. Slightly increasing legal migration opportunities has the interesting feature of reducing irregular flows, without deteriorating migrants’ welfare or increasing the total number of migrants. An extremely restrictive asylum policy has similar effects in terms of the flows of irregular migrants as a quite loose one, with the largest flows of irregular migrants occurring under a “middle-range” policy.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
6.60%
发文量
50
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Economics is an international quarterly that publishes original theoretical and applied research in all areas of population economics. Micro-level topics examine individual, household or family behavior, including household formation, marriage, divorce, fertility choices, education, labor supply, migration, health, risky behavior and aging. Macro-level investigations may address such issues as economic growth with exogenous or endogenous population evolution, population policy, savings and pensions, social security, housing, and health care. The journal also features research into economic approaches to human biology, the relationship between population dynamics and public choice, and the impact of population on the distribution of income and wealth. Lastly, readers will find papers dealing with policy issues and development problems that are relevant to population issues.The journal is published in collaboration with POP at UNU-MERIT, the Global Labor Organization (GLO) and the European Society for Population Economics (ESPE).Officially cited as: J Popul Econ Factor (RePEc): 13.576 (July 2018) Rank 69 of 2102 journals listed in RePEc
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