尼日利亚的人口动态、能源消耗和经济增长

Ezebunwa Justice, Leera Kpapih, Young Geoffrey
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摘要

本文评估了尼日利亚 1989 年至 2020 年人口动态、能源消耗和经济增长之间的关系。实证论文采用了格兰杰因果关系检验和向量误差修正估计技术。格兰杰因果检验发现,国内生产总值(GDP)、能源消耗(ENEG)、死亡率(MORT)和生育率(FERT)之间存在单向的相互联系,这对尼日利亚的经济增长产生了乐观的影响。此外,VECM 技术表明,在研究期间,自变量对国内生产总值的影响并不理想,但没有实质性影响。此外,实证研究还建议尼日利亚当局发出通知,做出直接努力来控制尼日利亚令人不安的生育率。
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Population Dynamics, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria
This paper assessed the nexus between population dynamics, energy consumption and economic growth in Nigeria spanning from 1989 to 2020. The empirical paper employed a Granger causality examination test and vector error correction estimation technique. The Granger causality tests found that there is unidirectional interconnection arising from gross domestic product (GDP), energy consumption (ENEG), mortality rate (MORT), and fertility rate (FERT), which turns optimistically to economic growth in Nigeria influences. Also, the VECM technique exposed that the independent variables have undesirable but no substantial influence on GDP within the period of study. Further more, the empirical study recommends that the Nigerian authority be notified to make straight efforts to control Nigeria's disturbing fertility rate.
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