影响印度尼西亚省级政府地方税收的因素

Muhammad Ramadhan Zulfi, Suparna Wijaya
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摘要

本研究旨在调查地区国内生产总值(GDP)、人口数量和贫困率对印度尼西亚省级政府地方税收的影响。本研究采用的二手数据来自中央统计局(Badan Pusat Statistik)的出版物,时间跨度为 2016 年至 2020 年,为期 5 年。研究重点是印度尼西亚的 34 个省。研究采用面板数据回归和面板广义最小二乘法模型。研究结果表明,地区 GDP 对省级政府的地方税收有积极而显著的影响。人口数量的增加也会对地方税收产生积极而显著的影响。相反,贫困人口比例的上升对省级政府的地方税收收入有显著的负面影响。地区 GDP、人口规模和贫困率同时对地方税收的影响也很显著。为提高地方税收,政府应鼓励地区经济增长,投资提高人力资源质量。这种做法将增加地区 GDP 和人口,从而提高地方税收。此外,努力降低贫困水平将提高居民的消费和收入,最终有助于增加地方税收。
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Factors Affecting The Local Taxes Revenue By Provincial Governments In Indonesia
This study aims to investigate the influence of regional gross domestic product (GDP), population size, and the poverty rate on the local tax revenues of Indonesian provincial governments. Secondary data from the publications of the Central Statistics Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik) covering a 5-year period from 2016 to 2020 were utilized for this research. The study focuses on 34 provinces in Indonesia. The research employs panel data regression with the panel-generalized least squares model. The findings indicate that regional GDP has a positive and significant impact on the local tax revenues of provincial governments. An increase in the population size also positively and significantly affects the local tax revenues. Conversely, a rise in the percentage of the population living in poverty has a negative and significant effect on local tax revenues of provincial governments. The simultaneous influence of regional GDP, population size, and the poverty rate on local tax revenues is also significant. To promote higher local tax revenues, the government should encourage economic growth in the regions and invest in enhancing the quality of human resources. This approach would lead to increased regional GDP and population, thereby boosting local tax revenues. Furthermore, efforts to reduce poverty levels would raise consumption and income among the population, ultimately contributing to increased local tax revenues.
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