Plant-based dietary patterns and risk of esophageal cancer: A prospective cohort study spanning 17 years.

Objective: Plant-based diets have multiple health benefits for cancers; however, little is known about the association between plant-based dietary patterns and esophageal cancer (EC).This study presents an investigation of the prospective associations among three predefined indices of plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of EC.

Methods: We performed endoscopic screening for 15,709 participants aged 40-69 years from two high-risk areas of China from January 2005 to December 2009 and followed the cohort until December 31, 2022. The overall plant-based diet index (PDI), healthful plant-based diet index (hPDI), and unhealthful plant-based diet index (uPDI), were calculated using survey responses to assess dietary patterns. We applied Cox proportional hazard regression to estimate the multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of EC across 3 plant-based diet indices and further stratified the analysis by subgroups.

Results: The final study sample included 15,184 participants in the cohort. During a follow-up of 219,365 person-years, 176 patients with EC were identified. When the highest quartile was compared with the lowest quartile, the pooled multivariable-adjusted HR of EC was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.32-0.77) for hPDI. In addition, the HR per 10-point increase in the hPDI score was 0.42 (95% CI, 0.27-0.66) for ECs. Conversely, uPDI was positively associated with the risk of EC, and the HR was 1.80 (95% CI, 1.16-2.82). The HR per 10-point increase in the uPDI score was 1.90 (95% CI, 1.26-2.88) for ECs. The associations between these scores and the risk of EC were consistent in most subgroups. These results remained robust in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions: A healthy plant-based dietary pattern was associated with a reduced risk of EC. Emphasizing the healthiness and quality of plant-based diets may be important for preventing the development of EC.