Coral J. Dando, Anthony Jones, Nick Harvey, Rebecca Milne
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引用次数: 0
摘要
县线(CL)毒品供应模式是一种迅速增长的威胁。大都会警察局专业犯罪部门开发了一种统计公式,称为 "八歧大蛇影响公式",用于保守地量化每条线路的毒品销售数量和货币价值。这个新颖的公式使用已知的 A 类毒品日均消费率和客户需求电话数据,保守地显示交易线路的交易情况,系统地区分不同的交易线路,以量化每条线路的相对影响。这种以证据为基础的方法具有支持以下工作的潜力:(i) 起诉交易线持有人;(ii) 确定量刑威慑;(iii) 更广泛的公共信息和知识交流。
Orochi impact formula: An evidence-based approach for quantifying the societal harm of County Lines drug supply
The County Lines (CL) drug supply model is a rapidly increasing threat. Metropolitan Police Specialist Crime have developed a statistical formula, referred to as ‘Orochi impact formula’ for conservatively quantifying the quantity and monetary value of drugs sold per line. The novel formula, which uses known average daily consumption rates of Class A drug and customer demand telephony data, conservatively indicates deal line trade, systematically differentiating between deal lines to quantify the relative impact of each. This evidence-based approach has potential for supporting (i) prosecution of line holders, (ii) determining sentencing deterrents, and (iii) wider public information and knowledge exchange.