{"title":"基于贝叶斯信念网络的森林火灾预测专家系统模型","authors":"S. A. Ivanov","doi":"10.17587/it.30.124-132","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.","PeriodicalId":504905,"journal":{"name":"Informacionnye Tehnologii","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network\",\"authors\":\"S. A. Ivanov\",\"doi\":\"10.17587/it.30.124-132\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.\",\"PeriodicalId\":504905,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Informacionnye Tehnologii\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Informacionnye Tehnologii\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17587/it.30.124-132\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Informacionnye Tehnologii","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17587/it.30.124-132","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network
The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.
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