探索孟加拉国 COVID-19 第一波期间非主动可持续交通方式的模式转变

Shaila Jamal , Antonio Paez
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摘要

尽管 COVID-19 导致的模式转换是全球北方国家的一个重要旅行行为问题,但全球南方国家,尤其是南亚国家,尚未充分确定交通系统和旅行行为是如何因该流行病而发生演变的。为了对这一问题有所贡献,本研究探讨了孟加拉国最常见的非主动式可持续交通工具(即公共汽车和人力车)使用频率的变化。通过强调态度和观念以及社会人口特征,本研究有助于了解不同因素如何影响孟加拉国个人对公共汽车和人力车使用频率的改变。我们的研究表明,总体而言,公共汽车的乘客流失率高于人力车。多元序数模型的研究结果表明,在大流行病的第一波期间,中等收入群体减少了公共汽车的使用频率,而低收入群体则增加了人力车的使用频率。此外,如果风险意识继续留在公众意识中,那么在封锁后和大流行后,公共汽车的使用可能会减少。此外,那些对社会隔离措施不那么在意和对自己的免疫系统有信心的人在疫情期间增加了使用巴士的频率。与巴士使用频率相比,人力车在疫情期间的使用频率变化较小,这表明人力车在疫情期间已成为相对更可行的交通工具。根据研究结果,本研究讨论了在大流行后时期保持巴士和人力车作为可行的、可持续的交通工具的政策影响。
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Exploring modal shift in non-active sustainable transport modes during the first wave of COVID-19 in Bangladesh

Although mode switching caused by COVID-19 is an important travel behavior question in the Global North, countries in the Global South, particularly South Asia, have yet to adequately identify how transportation systems and travel behavior have evolved due to the pandemic. To contribute to this question, this study explored changes in the use frequency of the most common non-active sustainable alternatives in Bangladesh, namely buses and rickshaws. By emphasizing attitudes and perceptions along with sociodemographic characteristics, this study contributed to the understanding of how different factors influence individuals’ shifts in the usage frequency of buses and rickshaws in Bangladesh. Our study suggested that in general, buses have lost more ridership than rickshaws. Findings from a multivariate ordinal model suggested that the middle-income group had reduced their bus use frequency, and the low-income group had increased their rickshaw use frequency during the first wave of the pandemic. Also, there could be a possible reduction in bus use in the post-lockdown and post-pandemic periods if the risk perception continues to remain in the public consciousness. Moreover, those who cared less about the social distancing measures and had confidence in their immune system had increased their bus use frequency during the pandemic. Compared to bus use frequency, there have been fewer changes in rickshaw use frequency during the pandemic, indicating that rickshaws had become a comparatively more viable mode during the pandemic. Based on the findings, the study discussed the policy implications of keeping buses and rickshaws as viable, sustainable transport modes in the post-pandemic period.

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