反价格欺诈法本身既不好也不坏:跨学科社会论述的叙事数字方法建议

Ji-Eun Byun, Sang-ri Yi
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摘要

多国政府出台了反价格欺诈法,以防止销售商将价格抬高到超过合理水平。经济学、伦理学和政治学等不同学科对该法律的有效性展开了激烈的讨论。在本文中,我们通过建立一个模拟地震后情况的模型,并将该模型应用于美国加利福尼亚州旧金山,来研究其有效性。该模型考虑了各种竞争力量,即灾后生产成本和需求的增加、资产损坏、捐赠和囤积。因此,它返回了多个决策指标,即未满足的基本商品需求、修复期以及供应不足和价格上涨造成的福利损失。结果表明,价格上限的最佳水平取决于决策指标和当地条件。这表明,该问题并不存在单一的最优决策,而是需要在相互冲突的决策指标之间做出折衷。根据这一观察结果,我们提出了一种叙事数字(NN)方法,作为一种新的社会话语方法。NN 方法的目标并不在于得出最真实的论据,而在于确定一种决策方案,使所有利益相关群体(希望)都能达成一致的折衷方案。
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Anti-price-gouging law is neither good nor bad in itself: a proposal of narrative numeric method for transdisciplinary social discourses
Multiple authorities have introduced an anti-price-gouging law to prevent sellers from raising prices higher than what is considered reasonable. Effectiveness of the law has been heatedly debated in various disciplines such as economics, ethics and politics. In this article, we investigate its effectiveness by developing a model that simulates a post-earthquake situation and apply the model to San Francisco, CA, USA. The model accounts for various competing forces, i.e. post-disaster increase in production cost and demands, assets damage, donation and hoarding. Thereby, it returns multiple decision metrics, i.e. unfulfilled needs in basic goods, repair periods and well-being loss caused by insufficient supplies and increased prices. The result shows that the optimal level of a price cap depends on a decision metric and local conditions. This indicates that the problem does not have a single optimal decision, but rather a compromise needs to be made between conflicting decision metrics. Generalising this observation, we propose a narrative numeric (NN) method as a new social discourse method. The objective of the NN method does not lie in concluding the most truthful argument, but rather in identifying a decision scenario that yields an agreeable compromise to (hopefully) all stakeholder groups.
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