气候变化引发的灾害及其对尼泊尔国家安全的影响

Chandra Shekhar Kapri
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摘要

在 21 世纪,气候变化成为一个非传统但却重大的当代挑战,在非常规安全领域发挥着潜在威胁倍增器的作用。虽然气候变化对全球环境构成了重大挑战,尤其影响到亚洲,但也有少数研究论证了气候变化对国家安全的影响。作为一个喜马拉雅山国家,尼泊尔地形独特,海拔从 60 米到 8848.86 米不等,容易遭受各种灾害,其中包括气候变化引起的灾害。现有的关于国家安全的学术研究很少探讨气候变化的影响所带来的潜在威胁,然而,国内文献对尼泊尔在这方面的脆弱性缺乏清晰的认识。在此背景下,尼泊尔地处喜马拉雅山腹地,在从国家安全的视角把握气候变化问题方面远远落后。本研究通过考察对尼泊尔构成安全威胁的主要不利环境趋势和灾害,描绘出这两者之间可能存在的联系。本研究还旨在探讨如何采取潜在的缓解或适应措施,以应对气候变化对国家安全的影响,最终帮助安全专业人士、学者和决策者。本文采用内容分析法对收集到的信息进行专题分析解释。
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Climate Change-Induced Disaster and Its Impact on the National Security of Nepal
In the 21st century, Climate Change emerges as a non-traditional but significant contemporary challenge, acting as a potential threat multiplier in the realm of non-conventional security. While this change poses a major global environmental challenge, particularly affecting Asia, a few studies argue the ramifications of climate change for national security. As a Himalayan country, Nepal, being unique topographically with an altitude ranging from 60m to 8848.86m, is prone to various kinds of disasters, including climate change-induced among many. Existing scholarship on national security, few have explored the potential threats due to its impacts, however, the domestic literature lacks clarity on Nepal’s vulnerability towards this. In this context, geographically located in the lap of the Himalayas, Nepal has been lagging far behind in grasping the issue of climate change through the lens of national security. This study maps the possible connection between these two by examining the major adverse environmental trends and disasters that pose a security threat to Nepal. It also aims to explore the ways to potential mitigating or adaptation measures to the effects of climate change on national security which eventually helps security professionals, scholars, and decision-makers. This article uses a content analysis approach to conclude the collected information where thematic analytical interpretation is used.
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