{"title":"近似估算舰艇组生产的人日:两阶段随机程序","authors":"Yusuf Genç, Mustafa Kafali, U. Çelebi","doi":"10.2478/pomr-2024-0015","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\n It is critical to estimate the workforce requirements for the production of blocks in shipbuilding. In this study, the number of workforce (man-day) required for the production of a passenger ship’s double bottom block was estimated. Initially, the production of the block was observed, and the average working performance of the mounting, welding, and grinding workers was recorded. Block drawings were examined and the work required was calculated. The amount of work increased, depending on any revisions required due to incorrect or incomplete designs. The average working performance of an employee is uncertain due to environmental factors, including the weather and working conditions, as well as health (both physical and mental). A two-stage stochastic programming model with recourse was established to estimate man-day required and a Sample Average Approximation (SAA) technique was used to obtain a near-optimum solution. The results of the study were compared with shipyard records and an agreement of approximately 90% was achieved.","PeriodicalId":49681,"journal":{"name":"Polish Maritime Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Approximate Estimation of Man-Day in Ship Block Production: A Two-Stage Stochastic Program\",\"authors\":\"Yusuf Genç, Mustafa Kafali, U. Çelebi\",\"doi\":\"10.2478/pomr-2024-0015\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"\\n It is critical to estimate the workforce requirements for the production of blocks in shipbuilding. In this study, the number of workforce (man-day) required for the production of a passenger ship’s double bottom block was estimated. Initially, the production of the block was observed, and the average working performance of the mounting, welding, and grinding workers was recorded. Block drawings were examined and the work required was calculated. The amount of work increased, depending on any revisions required due to incorrect or incomplete designs. The average working performance of an employee is uncertain due to environmental factors, including the weather and working conditions, as well as health (both physical and mental). A two-stage stochastic programming model with recourse was established to estimate man-day required and a Sample Average Approximation (SAA) technique was used to obtain a near-optimum solution. The results of the study were compared with shipyard records and an agreement of approximately 90% was achieved.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49681,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Polish Maritime Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Polish Maritime Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2478/pomr-2024-0015\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, MARINE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Polish Maritime Research","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2478/pomr-2024-0015","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MARINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Approximate Estimation of Man-Day in Ship Block Production: A Two-Stage Stochastic Program
It is critical to estimate the workforce requirements for the production of blocks in shipbuilding. In this study, the number of workforce (man-day) required for the production of a passenger ship’s double bottom block was estimated. Initially, the production of the block was observed, and the average working performance of the mounting, welding, and grinding workers was recorded. Block drawings were examined and the work required was calculated. The amount of work increased, depending on any revisions required due to incorrect or incomplete designs. The average working performance of an employee is uncertain due to environmental factors, including the weather and working conditions, as well as health (both physical and mental). A two-stage stochastic programming model with recourse was established to estimate man-day required and a Sample Average Approximation (SAA) technique was used to obtain a near-optimum solution. The results of the study were compared with shipyard records and an agreement of approximately 90% was achieved.
期刊介绍:
The scope of the journal covers selected issues related to all phases of product lifecycle and corresponding technologies for offshore floating and fixed structures and their components.
All researchers are invited to submit their original papers for peer review and publications related to methods of the design; production and manufacturing; maintenance and operational processes of such technical items as:
all types of vessels and their equipment,
fixed and floating offshore units and their components,
autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) and remotely operated vehicle (ROV).
We welcome submissions from these fields in the following technical topics:
ship hydrodynamics: buoyancy and stability; ship resistance and propulsion, etc.,
structural integrity of ship and offshore unit structures: materials; welding; fatigue and fracture, etc.,
marine equipment: ship and offshore unit power plants: overboarding equipment; etc.