非正规经济对埃及就业的影响:ARDL 模型提供的证据

محمود مجدي بربري بربري
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用 ARDL 模型分析非正规经济对埃及就业的影响,以检验两个变量之间的长期关系。从世界银行和国际劳工组织收集的数据用于估算 1991 - 2021 年期间的变量,结果表明,根据现有数据,两个变量之间存在长期关系,因此研究建议促进非正规经济融入正规经济的进程,以直接提高就业部门,并间接提高宏观经济指标,因为埃及经济在人口特征和劳动力方面具有特殊性。
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THE IMPACT OF INFORMAL ECONOMY ON THE EMPLOYMENT IN EGYPT: evidence from ARDL model
This study analyzes the impact of informal economy on the employment in Egypt using ARDL model to test the long run relationship between the two variables. Data is collected from World Bank and ILO for the variables in estimation from (1991 – 2021), the results show that there is a long run relationship between the two variables, depending on the available data, therefore the study recommends fostering the process of integrating informal economy into formal economy to enhance the employment sector directly and to enhance the macroeconomic indicators indirectly, as the Egyptian economy has a special nature regarding its demographic characteristics, and its workforce
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