中国可再生能源发展的经济增长目标实证研究

Yidan Gao
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摘要

各国可通过研究经济增长目标(EGT)与可再生能源发展(RED)之间的联系,在经济增长目标和支持可再生能源发展的背景下改进可再生能源支持政策。本研究利用 2003 年至 2019 年收集的 30 个省的面板数据,探讨了经济增长目标对可再生能源发展的影响以及政府与市场互动的调节功能。结果表明,经济增长目标对可再生能源的扩张具有倒 "U "型效应,且所有结论均通过了 1%水平的显著性检验。利用解释因素的单阶段滞后法、被解释变量替换法和工具变量法进行了内生性和稳健性检验。结果表明,经济增长目标与可再生能源发展之间的 "倒 U 型 "关系是稳定的,滞后期最终会缩短。此外,过度的经济增长会损害政府与市场之间的互动,从而阻碍可再生能源的发展。
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An Empirical Study of Economic Growth Target on Renewable Energy Development in China
Countries may improve renewable energy support policies in the context of economic growth aims and supporting renewable energy development by examining the link between economic growth target(EGT)and renewable energy development(RED). This study explores the effects of economic growth objectives on the development of renewable energy sources and the moderating function of government-market interactions using panel data collected from 30 provinces between 2003 and 2019. The results show that the economic growth objective has an inverted U-shaped effect on the expansion of renewable energy, and all of these findings pass the significance test at the 1% level. The endogeneity and robustness tests are conducted using the one-stage lag approach for explanatory factors, replacement of explained variables, and instrumental variables. The findings indicate that the "inverted U-shaped" relationship between the goal of economic growth and the advancement of renewable energy is steady and that the lag will eventually shorten. Additionally, excessive economic growth can harm interactions between the government and the market, which would hinder the advancement of renewable energy.
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