利用长期数据对叶西勒马克盆地进行干旱评估

V. Kartal
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摘要

干旱是指降雨量长期不足,如一季、一年或数年,以一个地区的多年统计平均值计算。干旱是一种自然灾害,会影响从农业到公共卫生等多项社会经济活动,并导致环境可持续性恶化。干旱从气象干旱开始,持续到农业和水文干旱,当干旱进入社会经济层面时,其影响开始显现。一般来说,干旱研究都是基于文献中的干旱指数。本研究采用萨姆松、托卡特、梅尔齐丰、乔伦和阿马西亚气象站 1961 年至 2022 年的长期降水、温度和蒸发数据,对土耳其叶希勒马克盆地的干旱进行了研究。本研究采用标准化降水指数 (SPI)、有效干旱指数 (EDI)、中国 Z 指数 (CZI) 和标准化降水蒸散指数 (SPEI),按日、月、季和年时间段对干旱进行评估。数据分析采用了森斜率和曼-肯德尔检验。结果显示,研究区域的月干旱指数几乎相同。虽然有特别严重和潮湿的时期,但观察到的干旱程度总体正常
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Drought assessment of Yeşilırmak Basin using long-term data
Drought is a prolonged period of inadequate rainfall, such as one season, one year or several years, on a statistical multi-year average for a region. Drought is a natural disaster effective on several socio-economic activities from agriculture to public health and leads to deterioration of the environment sustainability. The drought starts with meteorological drought, continues with agricultural and hydrological drought, and when it is in the socioeconomic dimension, the effects begin to be observed. Generally, drought studies are based on drought indices in the literature. This study applied long-term precipitation, temperature and evaporation data from Samsun, Tokat, Merzifon, Çorum and Amasya meteorological stations from 1961 to 2022 to investigate the drought in the Yeşilırmak basin of Turkey. The present study applied Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and Effective Drought Index (EDI), China Z- Index (CZI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) based on daily, monthly, seasonal and annual time periods to evaluate drought. The Sen slope and Mann-Kendall test were employed for data analysis. The results revealed that the monthly drought indices for the study area were almost identical for the study area. Although there were particularly severe and wet periods, generally normal drought levels were observed
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