利用双移动平均法和线性回归法分析聚酯纤维产能规划

Putri Sekar Hamidah, Agustian Suseno, Billy Nugraha
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摘要

随着时间的推移,日益增长的需求和不断变化的消费者欲望促使 PT.XYZ 公司努力满足消费者的欲望,并关注产品的发展。XYZ 试图满足消费者的需求,并关注产品的发展。本研究旨在分析聚酯纤维的生产能力,并在两种预测方法(即双移动平均法和线性回归法)之间进行权衡。本研究位于 PT.XYZ 的聚酯纤维生产。双移动平均法显示,平均平方误差形式的误差率产生了 24,891 件聚酯纤维,而线性回归法显示,平均平方误差形式的误差率产生了 594 件聚酯纤维。因此,两种预测方法的比较表明,线性回归法的误差率最小,是生产下几个月聚酯纤维的最佳方法。
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Analisa Perencanaan Kapasitas Produksi Fiber Polyester Menggunakan Metode Double Moving Average dan Regresi Linear
Increasing demand and changing consumer desires over time have triggered the company PT. XYZ to try to fulfill the desires and follow product developments among consumers. This research is research that aims to analyze the production capacity of polyester fiber with several forecasting methods as consideration between the two, namely Double Moving Average and Linear Regression. This research is located at PT. XYZ, in this research only examined the production of polyester fibers. The Double Moving Average method shows that the error rate in the form of Mean Squared Error produces 24,891 polyester fiber items, while the Linear Regression method shows that the error rate in the form of Mean Squared Error produces 594 polyester fiber items. So a comparison between the two forecasting methods shows that the Linear Regression method has the smallest error rate and is the best method for producing polyester fiber for the following months. 
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