一带一路 "政策对企业融资约束的影响

Linghao Xu
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摘要

本文以 "一带一路 "政策的出台为准自然实验,基于2011-2016年沪深两市A股上市公司数据,运用差分不等式法研究 "一带一路 "政策对企业融资约束的影响及其作用路径。基准回归结果表明,"一带一路 "政策的实施显著降低了政策支持企业的融资约束。在使用安慰剂检验控制了可能存在的内生性问题后,这一结论依然成立。此外,本文还根据企业的行业特征进行了分组检验,结果表明,"一带一路 "政策对企业融资约束的缓解作用在高新技术产业中更为显著。作用机理分析表明,一方面,与未受政策影响的企业相比,受政策支持的企业有更多的外部融资和银行借款增量;另一方面,与未受政策影响的企业相比,受政策支持的企业有更低的银行借款融资成本和企业债券融资成本,以及更多的税收优惠。研究表明,"一带一路 "政策的实施主要通过融资渠道和运营成本两个渠道降低企业融资约束。这一发现不仅有助于拓展宏观经济政策与微观企业行为的研究框架,而且对深入理解 "一带一路 "政策的经济效应及后续改革具有一定的启示意义。
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The Impact of "One Belt and One Road" Policy on Corporate Financing Constraints
This paper takes the introduction of the "One Belt and One Road" policy as a quasi-natural experiment, based on the data of A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from 2011 to 2016, and uses the Difference Inequality Method to investigate the impact of the "One Belt and One Road" policy on corporate financing constraints and its action path. The benchmark regression results show that the implementation of the "One Belt and One Road" policy significantly reduces the financing constraints of enterprises supported by the policy. After controlling for possible endogeneity problems by using the placebo test, this conclusion still holds. In addition, this paper also conducts grouping tests according to the industry characteristics of enterprises, and the results show that the mitigation effect of the "One Belt and One Road" policy on the financing constraints of enterprises is more significant in the high-tech industry. The analysis of the action mechanism shows that, on the one hand, compared with the enterprises not affected by the policy, the enterprises supported by the policy have more external financing and bank borrowing increments; on the other hand, compared with the enterprises not affected by the policy, the enterprises supported by the policy have lower bank borrowing financing costs and corporate bond financing costs, and more tax benefits. The study shows that the implementation of the "One Belt and One Road" policy mainly reduces corporate financing constraints through two channels: financing sources and operating costs. This finding not only helps to expand the research framework of macroeconomic policy and micro-enterprise behavior, but also has certain enlightenment for the in-depth understanding of the economic effects of the "Belt and Road" policy and the follow-up reform.
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