按恐怖袭击的方法、策略和目标分列的全球无法弥补的人口损失和经济损失报告

N. S. Shulenin, R. N. Lemeshkin, A. V. Soldatova
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摘要

相关性。为减轻综合预算负担,俄罗斯国内外的公共行政机构都在寻求最佳解决方案。反过来,所有相关部门、机构和服务部门都在确定消除恐怖袭击后果的最有效方法,目标之一是补偿恐怖袭击造成的损失。通过分析所报告的不同规模损失的回顾性数据,医学专家和卫生保健当局可以证明为消除恐怖袭击造成的医疗和卫生后果而调整准备工作的医学和经济可行性。这项研究以 1970 年至 2020 年期间发生的恐怖袭击后果的通用数据库为基础,由不同专家进行报告。回顾性分析包括 22 万多起恐怖行动案例;研究的关键参数包括恐怖袭击的方法、策略和目标。研究结果表明,根据多年来的破坏规模,与致命结果相关的恐怖袭击所占比例呈总体上升趋势。就案件发生频率和在其他方法中所占比例而言,爆炸恐怖袭击仍然是最重要的方法。就案件数量而言,个人是恐怖袭击的头号目标。商界代表在重大后果中占最大份额。
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Global irreparable population losses and economic damage reported by method, strategy, and target of terrorist attack
Relevance. To reduce the consolidated budget burden, public administration both in Russia and abroad is pursuing optimal solutions. In turn, identification of the most effective approaches to eliminating terrorist attack consequences is implemented by all concerned departments, agencies and services, with reimbursement of damages incurred by terrorist attacks among the goals. By analyzing retrospective data on the reported incurred damage of different scale, medical specialists and health care authorities can justify medical and economic feasibility of efforts to adapt preparedness to the elimination of the medical and sanitary consequences of terrorist attacks.The objective is to identify in terms of incurred damage the most dangerous methods, strategies, and targets to perform terrorist attacks.Methods. This study relies on a generalized database of terrorist attack consequences taken place from 1970 through 2020, and reported by various experts. The retrospective analysis included more than 220,000 cases of terrorist actions; the study key parameters were identified to include terrorist attack methods, strategies, and targets.Results and analysis. The study results show that depending on the scale of damage over years, the share of terrorist attacks associated with fatal outcome is characterized by a general upward trend. Terrorist attacks by explosion remains the most significant in terms of frequency of cases and share among other methods. Individuals are top one target of terrorist attacks by the number of cases. Business community representatives bear the utmost share of major consequences.
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