巴西的长途铁路模式选择:离散选择实验的证据

IF 4.6 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI:10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101428
Cassiano Augusto Isler , Marcelo Blumenfeld , Gabriel Pereira Caldeira , Clive Roberts
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对新城际服务的不同铁路技术进行评估对决策至关重要。高速铁路(HSR)线路以每小时 300 公里的速度运营,可以节省时间,而新的常规铁路(CR)服务以每小时 150 公里的速度运营,也可以带来成本效益。因此,评估旅行时间价值(VTT)有助于确定此类效益,特别是在全球南部地区,因为这些效益可能相对未知。本文利用陈述偏好调查数据以及多叉 Logit(MNL)和混合多叉 Logit(MMNL)模型,对巴西假设的城际商务和非商务高铁及 CR 服务的 VTT 进行了研究。结果表明,商务旅行中高铁的 VTT 高于 CR 服务,而且不同旅行目的的 VTT 差别很大。此外,就铁路技术或旅行目的而言,商务旅行的平均增值税与欧洲国家相似,但明显高于其他全球南部国家。
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Long-Distance railway mode choice in Brazil: Evidence from a discrete choice experiment

The appraisal of different railway technologies for new intercity services is essential in policy-making. While High-Speed Rail (HSR) lines provide time-savings by operating at 300 kph, new Conventional Rail (CR) services at 150 kph can offer cost-effective benefits. Therefore, assessing the value of travel time (VTT) helps determining such benefits, particularly in the Global South where they may be relatively unknown. This paper examines the VTT of hypothetical intercity business and non-business HSR and CR services in Brazil using data from a Stated Preference survey and Multinomial Logit (MNL) and Mixed Multinomial Logit (MMNL) models. Results indicate that VTT for HSR on business trips are higher than for CR services and vary significantly between trip purpose. Moreover, the VTTs for business trips are similar to those of European countries on average, but significantly higher than other Global South countries for either railway technology or trip purpose.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
2.60%
发文量
59
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Research in Transportation Economics is a journal devoted to the dissemination of high quality economics research in the field of transportation. The content covers a wide variety of topics relating to the economics aspects of transportation, government regulatory policies regarding transportation, and issues of concern to transportation industry planners. The unifying theme throughout the papers is the application of economic theory and/or applied economic methodologies to transportation questions.
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