对阿塞拜疆共和国库尔-阿拉斯平原大气降水时空分布的评估

N. Huseynov, J.S. Huseynov, Agil Hadjiev
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摘要

本文研究了库拉-阿拉斯低地降水量的时空变化特征。分析利用了水文气象站 1992 年至 2022 年十年间的降水量数据。研究中使用了数学统计和制图方法。根据研究结果,库拉-阿拉斯低地的降水量为 310 毫米。降水总量的 40% 降于温暖半周期,60% 降于低地的寒冷半周期。在寒冷时期,降水量从沿海地区向平原地区递减,而在温暖时期,这一过程则相反。据测定,大气降水量在 1 月、3 月、4 月、5 月、6 月、8 月、10 月、11 月和 12 月减少,而在 2 月、7 月和 9 月增加。与基准量(1961-1990 年)相比,1991-2022 年期间平原地区的年降水量指标减少了 10%。总降水量的 18% 在 10-19 毫米之间,16% 在 20-29 毫米之间。与常量相比,1991-2022 年库拉-阿拉斯低地的月降水量超过 50 和 60 毫米的情况减少了 19%,超过 70 毫米的情况减少了 15%。研究成果可用于在低地建立新的经济区、绘制地图、进行经济评估和采取减缓气候变化的措施。
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EVALUATION OF THE TIME-SPACE DISTRIBUTION OF ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITATION IN THE KUR-ARAS PLAIN IN THE AZERBAIJAN REPUBLIC
Characteristics of the space and time changes in the amount of precipitation in the Kura-Aras lowland were studied in the research paper. The precipitation data of the hydrometeorological station covering a decade from 1992 to 2022 was utilized in the analyses. To conduct research, the mathematical-statistical and cartographic methods were used. According to the conducted research, the amount of precipitation in the Kura-Aras lowland is 310 mm. 40% of the total amount of precipitation rains during the warm semi-period, while 60% falls in the cold semi-period in the lowland. The amount of precipitation decreases from the coastal areas to the plains during the cold, while in the warm period, this process occurs oppositely. It was determined that atmospheric precipitation decreased in January, March, April, May, June, August, October, November and December, and this indicator increased in February, July and September. The annual indicator of the amount of precipitation in the plain decreased by 10% during the years 1991-2022 compared to the base quantity (1961-1990). 18% of the total precipitation was in the range of 10-19 mm, and 16% was in the range of 20-29 mm. Compared to the norm, in the period 1991-2022, in the Kura-Aras lowland, a 19% decrease was recorded in monthly recurrences of precipitation above 50 and 60 mm, and a 15% decrease in precipitation above 70 mm. The research results can be used in the establishment of novel economic areas in the lowland, in the development of maps, economic assessment and mitigation measures against climate change.
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