现代俄罗斯未来形象的形成:大众动力与国家的作用

Victor V. Titov
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摘要

文章主要探讨了 2010 年代末至 2020 年代初俄罗斯未来形象的形成问题。文章从两个角度对上述问题进行了探讨:一是从影响俄罗斯人对集体未来看法的具体化的因素角度出发,二是从构建未来形象的国家政策角度出发。报告指出,现代俄罗斯未来形象的分裂是由于俄罗斯社会的复杂性及其代际特征、社会政治环境的密集数字化转型、缺乏横向和纵向的社会信任、政治价值观的折衷主义以及大众意识的过度追溯等因素造成的。报告指出,在当今俄罗斯,构建国家未来形象的国家政策在制度化和精细化方面存在不足。同时,从语义上讲,在 2010-2020 年代之交,该政策始终旨在实现家长制、社会公正和提高生活质量等大众政治价值观。需要强调的是,2020 年代初的政治事件是俄罗斯社会的压力因素,严重影响了俄罗斯人对国家未来的看法。因此,作为巩固俄罗斯社会价值意识形态的重要工具,构建未来形象的国家政策的作用正在显著增强。
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Formation the Image of the Future in Modern Russia: Mass Dynamics and the Role of the State
The article is devoted to the problem of forming the image of the future in Russia in the late 2010s – early 2020s. The above problem is considered from two perspectives: from the point of view of factors influencing the crystallization of Russians’ perceptions of the collective future, and in the context of the state policy of constructing the image of the future. It is stated that the fragmentation of the image of the future in modern Russia is due to such factors as the complex nature of Russian society and its generational specifics, the intensive digital transformation of the socio-political environment, the lack of horizontal and vertical social trust, the eclecticism of political values and hypertrophied retrospective orientations of mass consciousness. It is pointed out that the state policy of constructing a national image of the future in today’s Russia is characterized by an insufficient level of institutionalization and elaboration. At the same time, in the semantic sense, at the turn of the 2010–2020s it was consistently aimed at actualizing such mass political values as paternalism, social justice and improving the quality of life. It is emphasized that the political events of the early 2020s were a stress factor for the Russian society and had a serious impact on Russians’ perceptions of the country’s future. Therefore, the role of the state policy of constructing the image of the future as a key tool for the value-semantic consolidation of Russian society is significantly increasing.
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