俄罗斯各地区收入不平等与经济增长之间的相关性:基于格兰杰因果检验的新结果

M. Dorofeev
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摘要

收入不平等问题与科学文献高度相关。造成收入不平等的原因既有民众追求实现特定社会可接受的社会公正水平,也有收入不平等通常对经济发展和增长产生负面影响的属性。本文分析了俄罗斯各地区收入不平等(以基尼指数衡量)与人均地区生产总值(以下简称 GRP)水平之间的因果关系。采用的主要研究方法是格兰杰因果检验法。研究以联邦国家统计局关于俄罗斯各地区社会经济发展的数据为基础。进行的直接和反向因果检验表明,人均 GRP 会影响收入不平等,但反之亦然。此外,人均 GRP 的对数与俄罗斯各地区的基尼指数呈双向关系。根据所得结果得出结论,为了有效解决地区收入不平等问题,最好使用间接的金融监管方法而不是直接的金融监管方法,通过俄罗斯各地区的人均 GRP 指标来影响收入不平等,从而为提高生活水平和平均收入创造条件。
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Correlation between income inequality and economic growth in Russian regions: new results based on the Granger causality test
The issue of income inequality is highly relevant in scientific literature. It is caused both by the population’s pursuit of achieving an acceptable level of social justice specific to a particular society and by the property, which is often attributed to income inequality, to negatively influence economic development and growth. This article conducts an analysis of cause-and-effect relations between income inequality in the Russian regions (measured by the Gini index) and the level of gross regional product (hereinafter referred to as GRP) per capita. The primary research method employed is the Granger causality test. The research is based on data from the Federal State Statistics Service on the socio-economic development of Russian regions. Direct and reversal causality tests were performed, revealing that GRP per capita influences income inequality, but not vice versa. Moreover, the logarithm of GRP per capita exhibits a bidirectional relationship with the Gini index for Russian regions. On the basis of the obtained results, it is concluded that for effective management of the issue of regional income inequality, it is advisable to use indirect methods of financial regulation instead of the direct ones and influence income inequality through indicators of GRP per capita in Russian regions, thereby creating conditions for an increase in the standard of living and average income.
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