从主导货币定价到生产者货币定价:智利出口的动态

IF 3.8 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of International Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103934
José De Gregorio , Pablo García , Emiliano Luttini , Marco Rojas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们重新审视了国际宏观经济学的一个核心问题:出口价格和数量对汇率变动的反应。我们使用智利的细粒度出口数据,研究汇率变动的影响如何随开票货币和出口目的地的不同而变化。在价格方面,我们发现在控制美元汇率时,双边汇率变动的短期影响消失了,这支持了主导货币定价。然而,在较长时期内,双边汇率变动发挥了更重要的作用,这与生产国货币定价的预测一致。这些动态并不取决于开票货币。我们在数量方面发现的结果支持这样一种观点,即双边汇率变动有助于通过中期出口量进行宏观经济调整。
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From dominant to producer currency pricing: Dynamics of Chilean exports

We revisit a central question for international macroeconomics: the response of export prices and quantities to movements in the exchange rate (ER). We use granular export data for Chile and study how the effects of ER movements vary over time with the currency of invoicing and the destination of exports. For prices, we find that the short-run effects of bilateral ER movements vanish when controlling for U.S. dollar ER, which supports dominant currency pricing. However, over longer horizons a more significant role is played by bilateral ER movements, in line with the predictions of producer currency pricing. These dynamics do not depend on the invoicing currency. The results we find for quantities support the view that bilateral ER movements contribute to macroeconomic adjustment through export volumes over the medium term.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.10%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The Journal of International Economics is intended to serve as the primary outlet for theoretical and empirical research in all areas of international economics. These include, but are not limited to the following: trade patterns, commercial policy; international institutions; exchange rates; open economy macroeconomics; international finance; international factor mobility. The Journal especially encourages the submission of articles which are empirical in nature, or deal with issues of open economy macroeconomics and international finance. Theoretical work submitted to the Journal should be original in its motivation or modelling structure. Empirical analysis should be based on a theoretical framework, and should be capable of replication.
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