Predicting human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status of patients with gastric cancer by computed tomography and clinical features.

Background: There have been no studies on predicting human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status in patients with resectable gastric cancer (GC) in the neoadjuvant and perioperative settings. We aimed to investigate the use of preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) imaging features combined with clinical characteristics for predicting HER2 expression in GC.

Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 301 patients with GC who underwent curative resection and preoperative CECT. HER2 status was confirmed by postoperative immunohistochemical analysis with or without fluorescence in situ hybridization. A prediction model was developed using CECT imaging features and clinical characteristics that were independently associated with HER2 status using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed and the performance of the prediction model was evaluated. The bootstrap method was used for internal validation.

Results: Three CECT imaging features and one serum tumor marker were independently associated with HER2 status in GC: enhancement ratio in the arterial phase (odds ratio [OR] = 4.535; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.220-9.264), intratumoral necrosis (OR = 2.64; 95% CI, 1.180-5.258), tumor margin (OR = 3.773; 95% CI, 1.968-7.235), and cancer antigen 125 (CA125) level (OR = 5.551; 95% CI, 1.361-22.651). A prediction model derived from these variables showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.802 (95% CI, 0.740-0.864) for predicting HER2 status in GC. The established model was stable, and the parameters were accurately estimated.

Conclusions: Enhancement ratio in the arterial phase, intratumoral necrosis, tumor margin, and CA125 levels were independently associated with HER2 status in GC. The prediction model derived from these factors may be used preoperatively to estimate HER2 status in GC and guide clinical treatment.