具有饱和发病率的非局部扩散 SIS 流行病模型的渐近曲线

Yan-Xia Feng, Wan-Tong Li, Fei-Ying Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

感染机制在流行病模型中起着重要作用。为了研究饱和效应的影响,我们考虑了一个具有饱和发病率的非局部(卷积)分散易感-感染-易感流行病模型。我们首先研究了扩散率和种群总数对基本繁殖数的影响。杨、李和阮(J. Differ.Equ.267 (2019) 2011-2051)在相应的加权特征值问题具有唯一正主特征值的条件下,得到了当分散率趋于零或无穷大时基本繁殖数的极限。我们用另一种方法消除了这一附加条件,从而将基本繁殖数极限曲线问题简化为相应算子的谱约束问题。然后,我们通过等价方程建立了地方性稳态的存在性和唯一性,最后研究了地方性稳态在小扩散率和大扩散率下的渐近曲线,为疾病防治提供参考,其中地方性稳态的缺乏规律性和哈纳克不等式使得地方性稳态序列的极限函数难以得到。最后,我们发现降低易感个体的移动是否能根除疾病不仅取决于传播率与恢复率之差的符号,还取决于总人口规模,这与标准或双线性发病率模型的情况不同。
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Asymptotic profiles of a nonlocal dispersal SIS epidemic model with saturated incidence

Infection mechanism plays a significant role in epidemic models. To investigate the influence of saturation effect, a nonlocal (convolution) dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model with saturated incidence is considered. We first study the impact of dispersal rates and total population size on the basic reproduction number. Yang, Li and Ruan (J. Differ. Equ. 267 (2019) 2011–2051) obtained the limit of basic reproduction number as the dispersal rate tends to zero or infinity under the condition that a corresponding weighted eigenvalue problem has a unique positive principal eigenvalue. We remove this additional condition by a different method, which enables us to reduce the problem on the limiting profile of the basic reproduction number into that of the spectral bound of the corresponding operator. Then we establish the existence and uniqueness of endemic steady states by a equivalent equation and finally investigate the asymptotic profiles of the endemic steady states for small and large diffusion rates to provide reference for disease prevention and control, in which the lack of regularity of the endemic steady state and Harnack inequality makes the limit function of the sequence of the endemic steady state hard to get. Finally, we find whether lowing the movements of susceptible individuals can eradicate the disease or not depends on not only the sign of the difference between the transmission rate and the recovery rate but also the total population size, which is different from that of the model with standard or bilinear incidence.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
72
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: A flagship publication of The Royal Society of Edinburgh, Proceedings A is a prestigious, general mathematics journal publishing peer-reviewed papers of international standard across the whole spectrum of mathematics, but with the emphasis on applied analysis and differential equations. An international journal, publishing six issues per year, Proceedings A has been publishing the highest-quality mathematical research since 1884. Recent issues have included a wealth of key contributors and considered research papers.
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