增强巴基斯坦经济的能力:卫生和教育在影响劳动力参与率和经济增长方面的作用

IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Economies Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI:10.3390/economies12050113
Muhammad Umair, Waqar Ahmad, Babar Hussain, Costinela Fortea, Monica Laura Zlati, Valentin Marian Antohi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

劳动力是开展经济活动的关键因素,尤其是在巴基斯坦这样的劳动力过剩国家。在本研究中,我们探讨了劳动力参与(LF)对经济增长(EG)的影响,重点是这种影响如何取决于卫生和教育支出水平。我们分析了巴基斯坦从 1980 年到 2022 年的时间序列数据,并使用 ARDL(自回归分布滞后)、ECM(误差修正模型)和格兰杰因果关系技术进行了实证分析。ARDL 结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,LF 都能显著促进 EG。此外,估计结果还显示,更好的卫生和教育设施加强了 LF 对 EG 的积极影响。这表明健康、教育和 LF 在推动 EG 方面存在互补关系。此外,我们的研究结果还强调了健康和教育的时间意义:健康在短期内起着更为关键的作用,而教育的影响在长期内更为显著。此外,格兰杰因果关系结果表明,LF、健康和教育对 EG 有显著的促进作用。建议政府优先投资卫生和教育部门。这种方法可以增强个人能力,使其积极有效地参与经济活动,最终为国家的整体经济产出做出贡献。
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Empowering Pakistan’s Economy: The Role of Health and Education in Shaping Labor Force Participation and Economic Growth
The labor force is a crucial factor in conducting economic activities, especially in labor-surplus countries like Pakistan. In this study, we explore the impact of labor force participation (LF) on economic growth (EG), with an emphasis on how this impact depends on the levels of health and education expenditures. We analyze time series data from Pakistan spanning from 1980 to 2022, using ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag), ECM (Error Correction Model) and Granger causality techniques for empirical analysis. The ARDL results indicate that LF significantly boosts EG, both in the short and long run. Furthermore, the estimations reveal that better facilities for health and education strengthen the positive effects of LF on EG. This suggests a complementary relationship between health, education, and LF in driving EG. Moreover, our findings highlight the temporal significance of health and education: Health plays a more crucial role in the short run, while education’s impact is more substantial in the long run. Furthermore, the Granger causality results indicate that LF, health, and education significantly contribute to EG. It is advisable for the government to prioritize investments in the health and education sectors. This approach can empower individuals to actively and effectively participate in economic activities, eventually contributing to the overall economic output of the nation.
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来源期刊
Economies
Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
11.50%
发文量
271
审稿时长
11 weeks
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