以统计方法评估社会经济环境结构变化的动态及其类型

N. D. Kremlev
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摘要

本研究的目的是为评估社会经济环境结构变化的动态及其类型的文献提供依据。研究的相关性与反映社会经济环境的问题有关,这些问题会影响经济活动的效率。为了解决这些问题,国内许多地区都通过了到 2030 年的地区发展战略,这些战略与俄罗斯联邦的国家发展目标是一致的。本文研究了科学家确定社会经济环境本质和意义的各种方法,社会经济环境被定义为影响所有经济部门的一系列条件和因素。方法:国民经济核算体系的结构、指数、比较估算和方法。结果:文章使用数字表作为人口和地区生产总值(GRP)的再现,客观地反映了地区的结构变化和类型。地区生产总值按经济活动类型、生产、创收和家庭最终消费阶段(2012-2021 年)进行计算。乌拉尔地区的类型是根据以下标准制定的:经济的专业化、地区在生产中的地位、人均初次收入和家庭最终消费的类型。结论:研究社会经济环境结构变化动态评估及其类型的统计方法的优势使我们能够更客观地了解地区经济的主要趋势和状况。所获得的结果为今后在中观环境结构变化和居民社会经济行为领域开展科学研究奠定了方法论基础。这些结果还可作为制定公共政策措施和未来地区可持续发展战略的方法论基础。
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Assessment of the Dynamics of Structural Changes in the Socio-Economic Environment and Their Typology in the Context of a Statistical Approach
The purpose of the study is to substantiate the documentation for assessing the dynamics of structural changes in the socio-economic environment and their typology. The relevance of the study is related to the problems of reflecting the socio-economic environment, which affect the efficiency of economic activity. To address these issues, many regions of the country have adopted regional development strategies for the period up to 2030, which correspond to the national development goals of the Russian Federation. Various approaches of scientists to determining the essence and significance of the socio-economic environment, which is defined as a set of conditions and factors that influence all sectors of the economy, are studied.Methods: structural, index, comparative estimates and methodology of the system of national accounts.Results: the article uses a digital meter as a reproduction of the population and gross regional product (GRP), which objectively reflect the structural changes and typologies of the regions. GRP is calculated by types of economic activity, at the stages of: production, income generation and final consumption of households 2012-2021. Typologies of the Ural regions have been developed according to the following criteria: specialization of the economy, the position of the region in production, by types of primary income and final consumption of households per capita.Conclusion: the advantage of the statistical approach of studying the assessment of the dynamics of structural changes in the socio-economic environment and their typology allows us to get a more objective idea of the prevailing trends and the state of the regional economy. The results obtained made it possible to formulate a methodological basis for future scientific research in the field of structural changes in the meso-environment and socio-economic behavior of the population. They can also be used as a methodological basis for the development of public policy measures and strategies for sustainable development of territories in the future.
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